TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No0c26,277$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.81277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed No43c5,376$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.112040%8 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No2c4,787$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No17c4,784$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.7398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes60c3,908$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.431233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No6c3,437$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7833444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No26c2,480$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No6c2,188$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3822652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No6c1,390$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1714843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes58c1,213$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.5513933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Yes74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked No28c596.43$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1671338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No42c499.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.988949.4%44 W · 45 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No26c440.14$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.361346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No35c400$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1386746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes59c381.36$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.361833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes76c374.08$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.782045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes59c338$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.581752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes59c325.42$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.421346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed No41c299.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+67.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes57c288.01$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8410160.4%61 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed No44c233.33$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed No43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x471c…b252backed No42c232.5$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Yes75c229.63$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes57c217.8$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2243748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c58…3e73backed Yes58c207$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889f…d385backed Yes58c206$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7891…016ebacked No42c206$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c8…635abacked No42c205$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes68c204.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.555945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78f9…1596backed No43c202$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e2…5f78backed Yes57c202$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d6…3b0dbacked No43c201$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ecc…8fdebacked Yes57c201$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4262…abebbacked No42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8411457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f09…c886backed Yes58c199$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe02b…6a73backed No42c198$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e97…8967backed Yes58c197$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes58c193.31$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8730055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No41c187.95$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No10c168.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0722852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce2…0103backed Yes75c166.16$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.54580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f49…7458backed Yes74c134.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes74c134$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4413540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No48c128.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3810448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No26c121.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.852634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Yes55c120.47$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.44744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed No43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed No43c115.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.591942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Yes59c105$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.053878.9%30 W · 8 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+94.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412580%20 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6460%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4119345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.616858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Yes75c93.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.334233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes72c85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0112532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes75c76.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2512156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Yes51c64.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.641060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b9…215cbacked No42c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7202…e9b1backed Yes58c50.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.351241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No42c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.166955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed No42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-38.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b17…a150backed Yes58c38.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x735e…ac8ebacked Yes74c34.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes58c34.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.412653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.95250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c62…32a3backed Yes58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e0…b300backed No37c27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…2b01backed Yes59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf70e…571ebacked Yes59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…0d4abacked Yes74c21.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Yes58c21.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.022369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3552…0d65backed Yes76c18.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Yes73c15.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.03966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.