TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$668,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$799,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No41c74,714$30,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,309.541,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes47c65,906$30,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,930.296566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes46c65,732$30,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,229.18957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes49c43,564$21,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,259.8930634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No54c42,988$23,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,213.523847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c41,193$20,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,741.0650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No33c38,685$12,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,802.854,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No51c28,712$14,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,761.4612648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No53c25,647$13,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,536.559459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No54c23,275$12,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,468.439028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No12c15,971$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No44c15,913$6,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,970.5590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No33c15,611$5,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0923345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No50c15,135$7,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,634.641,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No52c11,211$5,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,829.971020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No53c9,812$5,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,200.593946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c9,286$4,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,851.11,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6503253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No9c4,444$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No3c3,957$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.694621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No50c3,234$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.356836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No50c3,043$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.5210438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No51c2,953$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.9535442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No50c2,905$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.8717252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes48c2,780$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.1824047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No29c2,731$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.9525248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No6c2,429$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.01777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.994654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x652e…8f11backed No46c1,987$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8025…3189backed No46c1,946$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No51c1,943$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7921957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No51c1,915$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.0874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac71…b290backed Yes47c1,907$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.48825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No53c1,879$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.6714244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes49c1,857$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.5112251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb10…64a0backed Yes54c1,740$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes60c1,680$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.342536%9 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8ac1…6c44backed No46c1,680$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes49c1,628$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No22c1,576$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.5929038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473c…b654backed Yes54c1,546$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.163100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes48c1,535$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.9725648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e7…3f51backed Yes54c1,534$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No51c1,523$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.689055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…4f53backed Yes54c1,520$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.9738729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb49…444abacked No46c1,454$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes48c1,438$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.54540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7436…2ffbbacked Yes54c1,437$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.02757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b6…7906backed Yes54c1,425$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No6c1,406$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0740033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8418…368fbacked No46c1,350$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6b…4626backed Yes54c1,315$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f87…6c18backed Yes54c1,274$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.044100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c1…1cefbacked No46c1,229$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No23c1,177$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4715646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes46c1,152$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.172254.5%12 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+44.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf6b3…e481backed Yes54c1,120$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.969154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.677553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No1c1,020$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.826328.6%18 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x237b…1fa4backed No46c1,020$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x965d…726abacked Yes54c1,018$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.283100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dce…a525backed No46c999$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.54580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No53c990$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.718650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No52c986.36$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7640…ece8backed Yes54c957$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe194…6b28backed No46c858$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.68540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No52c844.66$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.0114854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes48c837.69$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.2753242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf878…622cbacked Yes54c837$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.02944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaef7…a192backed Yes54c817$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed No9c799.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0a…6b9fbacked No7c799.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8620…d8bcbacked No46c790$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No51c784$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.846860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8c…dd1cbacked No46c783$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5def…9a0bbacked No46c760$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…0945backed Yes54c757$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes47c733.47$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.744240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed No7c713.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.971513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Yes71c705.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes72c700$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.122859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes49c697.92$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.94850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes46c672.72$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.271758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No51c669.95$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6727854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x15fc…ed9bbacked No46c618$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3245448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2933…3cdfbacked No46c589$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.94580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac5c…526dbacked No46c561$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.061145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No54c560$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.46238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaff8…53debacked No46c537$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed No53c535.02$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9111457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No11c526.49$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0121842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No51c514$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.715250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No51c514$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.735054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.