La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c3cd1e530423d11019132dcf1d3233574c73dd96222c0cf6fb75ea2e9429d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 3,361$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 711.59$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 69c | 640.81$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.06 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 78c | 398$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 70c | 323$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 32c | 322$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 17c | 185$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 182.05$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 155$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…9b7bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 30c | 99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 93.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 29c | 81.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 185 | 64.9%120 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 19c | 74.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 70c | 58.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 51.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 69c | 50.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…6956backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 34.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.