TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No77c3,899$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.771668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes3c3,764$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes1c2,916$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7921842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes12c2,817$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3422317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes18c2,566$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.734,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes20c2,452$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0420054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c2,005$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.171,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes1c1,936$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.923,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes1c1,187$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes10c1,141$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11226242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No77c1,124$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.2223452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Yes24c1,074$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.661435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209558.9%56 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes2c975$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa23b…db15backed No77c703.98$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.96580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No80c650$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.564046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Yes23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1389923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No80c600$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1219947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c532.34$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes9c516.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc2…4837backed No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11012255.7%68 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b1…18ffbacked Yes4c500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes23c415$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes19c404.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6425248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes22c300$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.515049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes20c287.32$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.246141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes22c286.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes23c279$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1730634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No77c246.82$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.199055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No80c231.06$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2153246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No78c224$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No77c217$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.914259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes22c199.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4424052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed Yes21c195.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No77c184$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4112757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No78c182.8$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.222770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No78c171.14$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6527854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No78c170.2$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4417252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No79c165$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.112251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Yes24c139.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes17c125$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2515036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Yes23c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes17c118$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0648934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes22c113.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.897751.9%40 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcc…1ab0backed Yes10c101.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c58…3036backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-74.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013626.5%36 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211573.3%11 W · 4 L+5.4wins+0.36per pick38cpaid+117.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228341%34 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No76c99.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No76c98.83$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.723253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a17…5524backed No78c94.4$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Yes23c94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.621346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea6…a8c5backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e7…05c8backed Yes23c83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No78c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9618564.9%120 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed No77c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes17c75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes23c74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.023946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes23c63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.492842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked No77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2da…6a1dbacked No78c56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes22c55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.18653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked No78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.286950.7%35 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1117660.2%106 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed No78c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Yes23c44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.123046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.813052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed No77c39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.971258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.965345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked No77c38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.741952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47aa…09e9backed No80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No77c31.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2625648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked No78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.614157.4%81 W · 60 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed No77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc61…6938backed No80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked No77c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.441266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No78c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7228558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6987…6956backed No78c25.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c1…090dbacked No77c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f96…92e0backed No78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.62850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed No77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed No80c20.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked No79c18.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No78c16.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.529570.5%67 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed No77c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.68580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed No77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.451050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed No78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked No77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.45862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfd…3191backed No78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.35966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…6a30backed No79c14.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.031266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4182…ae54backed No77c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.22988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked No77c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.