CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8514ab28725695c0bbbf025ee19ae37eb626465f0a92bf9c61b299c70ce490f

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 13, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $95,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $106,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,439 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked Under	49c	27,684$13,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,573.06	836	52.5%439 W · 397 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under	57c	12,086$6,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,881.61	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed Over	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over	45c	8,389$3,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,586.78	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1a…9732backed Over	68c	7,366$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,365.7	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+182%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over	51c	5,858$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,858.42	106	35.8%38 W · 68 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked Under	5c	5,000$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over	51c	4,200$2,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,058	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Over	43c	3,257$1,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,861.98	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Under	5c	2,500$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcff…9527backed Over	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5363…1987backed Over	51c	1,778$907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$871.01	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58bc…1fdbbacked Under	7c	1,594$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.72	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+3.0wins	+0.38per pick	12cpaid	+228.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Under	53c	1,462$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.01	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Under	61c	1,207$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.94	1,256	46.7%587 W · 669 L	+17.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over	47c	1,064$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.83	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under	50c	1,030$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515	208	55.3%115 W · 93 L	+18.1wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under	47c	1,007$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.1	1,081	50.9%550 W · 531 L	+37.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over	53c	950$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.5	298	51.3%153 W · 145 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3d…a4f8backed Over	51c	707.55$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.94	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Under	52c	667.29$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.39	87	64.4%56 W · 31 L	+9.5wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Under	27c	650$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	476	41.6%198 W · 278 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	965	45.7%441 W · 524 L	+10.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Under	54c	481.11$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	197	47.2%93 W · 104 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aea…dcfebacked Over	47c	385.38$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.38	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	38cpaid	+116.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Over	51c	366.39$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.53	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.6wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5ac…aa06backed Under	53c	337.56$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Over	47c	298.87$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.4	1,144	49.4%565 W · 579 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x120e…990abacked Over	50c	290$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Under	55c	272.73$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cc…b8a2backed Over	50c	198.59$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.59	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.9wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Over	49c	193.29$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.58	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e7…fc5bbacked Under	49c	183.18$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.76	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Over	48c	169.99$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.2	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd431…87c1backed Under	51c	162.75$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	77	48.1%37 W · 40 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd821…68d4backed Over	50c	140$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Over	47c	140$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.2	821	46.3%380 W · 441 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x640b…978abacked Under	76c	130$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc11c…8d8abacked Over	50c	119.48$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.48	63	61.9%39 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over	47c	108.51$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.51	295	58.6%173 W · 122 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Over	21c	100$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79	1,181	22.5%266 W · 915 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee30…bcc3backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.28per pick	50cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff26…da38backed Under	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cef…0925backed Over	51c	90$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x268e…b38ebacked Under	55c	83.33$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Over	35c	80$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	42cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Under	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd680…2251backed Under	75c	80$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7679…8c3abacked Over	51c	78.62$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.62	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebd7…9ec4backed Over	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over	47c	60.4$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.01	812	44.3%360 W · 452 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Over	48c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	277	35.7%99 W · 178 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…9194backed Over	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee86…07d8backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71eb…4c2dbacked Over	41c	58.7$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.7	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf17…5f59backed Over	48c	55.58$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.9	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked Over	51c	54.9$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.9	180	40.6%73 W · 107 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfea1…f3a1backed Under	67c	53.13$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	213	43.7%93 W · 120 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf70e…571ebacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over	51c	49.41$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.41	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8aaf…c132backed Under	53c	45.51$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e00…d922backed Over	50c	40.02$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.02	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	52cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c69…66afbacked Over	47c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Over	50c	39.47$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.54	146	54.8%80 W · 66 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf549…2ecbbacked Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under	51c	37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	44c	36.92$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.38	211	39.3%83 W · 128 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Under	55c	36.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	50c	30.54$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Under	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	109	56.9%62 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	354	54.2%192 W · 162 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4863…dfa4backed Under	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	151	51%77 W · 74 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Over	44c	26.14$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.64	126	53.2%67 W · 59 L	+8.7wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe332…e295backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ec…6d77backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)FaZe won
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event