TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FaZeof FaZe, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$415,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$459,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,110 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed FaZe45c47,174$21,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,945.439942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Natus Vincere55c30,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,5007363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Natus Vincere54c28,534$15,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,502.329247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere44c18,442$8,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,147.6883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FaZe44c18,074$7,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,133.161,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere58c14,845$8,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,573.154,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FaZe39c13,952$5,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,569.183,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Natus Vincere55c12,029$6,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,586.6212648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked FaZe29c11,910$3,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,471.8627133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked FaZe43c10,700$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,149.5417148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed FaZe42c10,375$4,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,977.8632425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere17c10,345$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.4582143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f7…e59bbacked FaZe46c6,954$3,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,755.025545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Natus Vincere52c6,560$3,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,384.4323355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked FaZe47c5,884$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.188342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere55c5,826$3,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,204.1576657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere53c5,556$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.1345848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FaZe46c5,353$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,906.51,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8309…fbecbacked Natus Vincere71c5,229$3,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,735.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Natus Vincere55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7502437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere53c4,821$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.660848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere63c4,797$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.8346545.6%212 W · 253 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed FaZe46c4,782$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.7823852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere55c4,773$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.121,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed FaZe45c4,500$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,47512653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed FaZe48c4,493$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.4957647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked FaZe45c4,449$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.845644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked Natus Vincere4c4,000$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154240%0 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x468e…3e25backed FaZe42c3,214$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Natus Vincere75c3,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e7…fc5bbacked Natus Vincere52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Natus Vincere52c2,943$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdea3…e4babacked FaZe51c2,890$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere52c2,500$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.3226351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed FaZe46c2,465$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.091776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Natus Vincere57c2,073$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.7175545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Natus Vincere56c1,864$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.8419247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Natus Vincere4c1,800$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7460%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed Natus Vincere19c1,747$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.753158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed FaZe46c1,739$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.132853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed FaZe41c1,607$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.673333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed FaZe46c1,593$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.5244848.4%217 W · 231 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacf5…9385backed Natus Vincere39c1,560$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed FaZe46c1,556$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.565756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere54c1,526$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.5423932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed FaZe46c1,493$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.068416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbba…f349backed Natus Vincere55c1,460$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.992532%8 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Natus Vincere20c1,353$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2649037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere55c1,258$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69226461%161 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Natus Vincere60c1,208$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7203046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Natus Vincere55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66021846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d3…4c58backed FaZe46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb6…95c2backed FaZe46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.96977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick40cpaid+80.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Natus Vincere69c1,085$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Natus Vincere18c1,067$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.455149%25 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed FaZe40c1,065$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.895841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf8f…4136backed Natus Vincere38c1,052$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.031631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe74d…22fdbacked FaZe39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6102025%5 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Natus Vincere53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53012145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Natus Vincere56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.810442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Natus Vincere48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked FaZe44c984.66$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.4113050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2286…3ccfbacked FaZe44c910$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Natus Vincere56c893.04$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked FaZe46c869.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.5742050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7433…c66cbacked FaZe23c861.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.42166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Natus Vincere54c828.05$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.1524935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FaZe13c800$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6961,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked Natus Vincere59c799.99$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4724555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf674…f4c8backed Natus Vincere71c787.08$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.731457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked FaZe61c770.23$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.392433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Natus Vincere53c755.49$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4117853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Natus Vincere53c726$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.7810549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed FaZe46c714.36$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.1622349.8%111 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Natus Vincere53c707.81$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.146347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere72c700.66$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.071,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd9…46d5backed FaZe44c690.91$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.912317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-52.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fca…2e16backed FaZe34c639.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.994247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere55c629.91$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4515162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37cd…6c4bbacked Natus Vincere20c602.25$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed FaZe21c600.11$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.0913532.6%44 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked FaZe44c594.7$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.039050%45 W · 45 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed FaZe24c582.16$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.39144%40 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e47…3d20backed FaZe67c566.3$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd680…2251backed Natus Vincere72c556.33$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30078939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x331a…ff18backed FaZe46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.487841%32 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Natus Vincere56c538.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…798bbacked Natus Vincere56c533.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee8…6c2ebacked Natus Vincere55c525.67$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.121533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x093f…923dbacked Natus Vincere67c522$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5823…673fbacked Natus Vincere68c515.93$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35220%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Natus Vincere73c502.49$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.7631757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc7…01e0backed Natus Vincere40c500.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007839.7%31 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Natus Vincere60c500$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed Natus Vincere55c500$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2775543.6%24 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked FaZe47c487.5$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3884937.8%321 W · 528 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Natus Vincere56c486.16$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2728038.8%31 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed FaZe44c479.99$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.7913043.8%57 W · 73 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.