TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof FaZe, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$255,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x110c…d9c6backed FaZe0c16,101$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218733.3%29 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FaZe40c15,266$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,149.554,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed FaZe44c13,087$5,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,721.927146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755d…1a7abacked FaZe0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FaZe37c10,739$3,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,961.231,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed FaZe47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9957647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x535d…fda1backed FaZe9c9,934$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.38333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere57c8,233$4,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,524.7645848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c3…33c8backed FaZe41c7,059$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere56c6,922$3,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.6783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed FaZe44c5,908$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.5410549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1255…fa6fbacked FaZe11c5,673$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a00…bfc3backed Natus Vincere56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere61c4,885$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.8234156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e9a…5f9cbacked FaZe42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x468e…3e25backed Natus Vincere73c4,738$3,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed FaZe13c4,062$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.0732425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Natus Vincere53c3,852$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.5911655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked FaZe14c3,555$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f7…e59bbacked Natus Vincere65c3,202$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.675545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Natus Vincere59c2,944$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.155841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Natus Vincere53c2,872$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.723952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed Natus Vincere59c2,449$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.927955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Natus Vincere53c2,158$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.0610252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked FaZe19c2,014$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.99050%45 W · 45 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Natus Vincere61c1,879$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.0115255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00dc…6a22backed FaZe4c1,704$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Natus Vincere61c1,681$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.7815970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2816…8e43backed Natus Vincere65c1,505$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.852763%17 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60046545.6%212 W · 253 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere58c1,481$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.2444848.4%217 W · 231 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed FaZe6c1,480$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.51330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed FaZe42c1,405$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5906956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb23a…9a75backed FaZe2c1,400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick6cpaid+126.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere66c1,400$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9660848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed FaZe42c1,312$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.0419247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0186…1e2cbacked FaZe15c1,311$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.97378.1%3 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-67.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1878…0d50backed FaZe5c1,300$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere73c1,288$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3976657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9b…d007backed FaZe8c1,278$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere62c1,204$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.2926461%161 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x477b…7b63backed FaZe6c1,200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick21cpaid+61%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Natus Vincere56c1,124$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.871,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FaZe9c1,100$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c5…2788backed FaZe9c1,074$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed FaZe8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd3…da1ebacked FaZe4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40150%0 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FaZe4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere58c997.68$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.0323932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed FaZe17c973.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1699723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed FaZe24c949.98$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3825941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f6…10fbbacked FaZe28c900$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4615162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Natus Vincere59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4613461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbba…f349backed Natus Vincere65c806.34$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.352532%8 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd7c…79a0backed Natus Vincere56c803.4$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.51850%9 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Natus Vincere61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31215251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed FaZe15c793.32$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked FaZe42c764.33$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0212145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FaZe39c728.49$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.111,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb55f…5705backed FaZe5c706.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.35605%3 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…2e16backed FaZe7c600$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb6…95c2backed FaZe8c594$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick40cpaid+80.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed FaZe42c573.36$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.816648.5%32 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed FaZe14c571.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Natus Vincere53c571.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.138038.8%31 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked FaZe15c561.43$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.652834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Natus Vincere56c523.4$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.312648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed FaZe43c516.63$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.152560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x866f…d410backed FaZe5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256521.5%14 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22fa…a67dbacked FaZe9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked FaZe44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22081544.4%362 W · 453 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked FaZe5c472.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6327133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x331a…ff18backed Natus Vincere53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.77841%32 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd882…b9c3backed FaZe9c466.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c9…b8bbbacked Natus Vincere58c450$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2df…b572backed FaZe6c425$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked FaZe44c409.09$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809147.3%43 W · 48 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Natus Vincere61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15622349.8%111 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Natus Vincere65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14031933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed FaZe14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5621437.9%81 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed FaZe33c398.68$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2121137.4%79 W · 132 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked FaZe6c387.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550458.5%295 W · 209 L-1.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed FaZe44c375.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4328549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6460248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f99…f4d5backed Natus Vincere55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.645461.1%33 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x293b…0fbabacked FaZe5c355.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.471020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c5…bd4ebacked FaZe22c350$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772035%7 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb8…4d53backed FaZe7c336.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251346.2%6 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.23per pick23cpaid+91.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed FaZe14c333.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4742845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Natus Vincere61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1866…1325backed Natus Vincere61c309.31$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.638648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Natus Vincere58c308.58$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6184937.8%321 W · 528 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc31…bf65backed FaZe17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed FaZe5c300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed FaZe52c294.56$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15230158.8%177 W · 124 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee8…6c2ebacked Natus Vincere61c292.05$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.91533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d5d…0691backed FaZe5c285$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Natus Vincere55c280.6$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.935657.1%32 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.