Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88608442d14bdfa98a3d2ece26857aa516f193c8161db0c8e7c779fd8f3464af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Yakutou Brothers, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 15,636$8,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,328.39 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed Yakutou Brothers | 61c | 9,676$5,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,869.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…477cbacked Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 7,501$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yakutou Brothers | 52c | 3,980$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.03 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 3,547$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.42 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 1,521$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 19c | 1,502$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.87 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yakutou Brothers | 10c | 1,362$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Yakutou Brothers | 21c | 1,350$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.54 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 1,344$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.29 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 54c | 1,306$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Yakutou Brothers | 4c | 1,215$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed Yakutou Brothers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Yakutou Brothers | 42c | 777.74$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 648.3$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 37c | 631.5$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.66 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 531.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.65 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…260abacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 495.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 475$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.75 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 414.56$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…c342backed Team Nemesis | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…2afbbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 389.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Yakutou Brothers | 40c | 312$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 309.16$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Nemesis | 78c | 299.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yakutou Brothers | 38c | 287.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f3…b080backed Yakutou Brothers | 64c | 282.72$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 269.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.86 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 267.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2312…016fbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 258.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Yakutou Brothers | 60c | 233.83$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 218$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 213.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yakutou Brothers | 17c | 209.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…32d3backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 208.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 204.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 203.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Yakutou Brothers | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yakutou Brothers | 42c | 183.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 57c | 176.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d96…4f2ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 174.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakutou Brothers | 55c | 170.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 162.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 153.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…514fbacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 151.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 143.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yakutou Brothers | 45c | 140.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 136.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 120.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…de18backed Yakutou Brothers | 14c | 111.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…2823backed Yakutou Brothers | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 104.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Yakutou Brothers | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 94.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Yakutou Brothers | 59c | 85.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…3e3abacked Yakutou Brothers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 84.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Yakutou Brothers | 36c | 81.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…78bcbacked Yakutou Brothers | 71c | 81.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 78.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked Yakutou Brothers | 52c | 77.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed Yakutou Brothers | 28c | 72.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…3b8ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 71.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Yakutou Brothers | 55c | 63.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…6c41backed Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 62.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 58.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 52.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yakutou Brothers | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yakutou Brothers | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…a2d4backed Yakutou Brothers | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Yakutou Brothers | 59c | 49.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 47.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Yakutou Brothers | 42c | 42.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3712…b462backed Yakutou Brothers | 70c | 41.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 40.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yakutou Brothers | 38c | 40.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Yakutou Brothers | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 39.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…58d7backed Yakutou Brothers | 56c | 39.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 38.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 36.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…210abacked Yakutou Brothers | 56c | 36.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b6…c5debacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 35.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70e…571ebacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 34.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…a253backed Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 34.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…aec0backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 33.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…d6eabacked Yakutou Brothers | 40c | 33.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 33.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…4be2backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Yakutou Brothers | 46c | 32.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85fd…4d74backed Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 32.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc216…6e99backed Yakutou Brothers | 41c | 32.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerYakutou Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.