Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x157c645b44b951075083eac90797e71943ea3fa43278847a73165c1ee6873d80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $894,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $997,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $894,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 641 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 65c | 142,450$92,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,883.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 28c | 60,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,199.93 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 57,122$23,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,671.03 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 54,227$18,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,244.95 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 34c | 50,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,999.94 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 70c | 49,557$34,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,511.74 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 34c | 30,432$10,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,991.39 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 65c | 25,788$16,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,109.89 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 65c | 25,072$16,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,329.58 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 67c | 20,040$13,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,403.54 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 35c | 16,584$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,804.86 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 35c | 14,285$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,285.25 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 36c | 13,880$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,883.41 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 12,254$5,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,550.79 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 11,220$7,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,615.85 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 34c | 9,890$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,559.24 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 68c | 9,800$6,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,622.68 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 71c | 8,968$6,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,385.89 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…6a81backed Yes | 57c | 8,673$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes | 59c | 8,495$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 38c | 7,905$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.92 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 66c | 7,311$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.58 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 53c | 7,000$3,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,718.77 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 34c | 5,083$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.17 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.97 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 34c | 4,641$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.61 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…4674backed No | 31c | 4,495$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa641…3047backed No | 31c | 4,158$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 41c | 4,032$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.87 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 33c | 3,919$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.5 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 65c | 3,521$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.6 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…488bbacked Yes | 43c | 3,497$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 59c | 3,487$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.82 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 70c | 3,337$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.96 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…03e9backed No | 31c | 3,266$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 23c | 3,217$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.38 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 34c | 2,630$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,557$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.9 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…7782backed No | 31c | 2,403$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 35c | 2,333$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.91 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…cd96backed No | 31c | 2,324$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…6f20backed Yes | 69c | 2,275$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc009…5290backed No | 31c | 2,239$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8d…88abbacked No | 31c | 2,208$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…5887backed No | 31c | 2,206$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49bc…3193backed No | 31c | 2,186$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa626…dfbcbacked No | 31c | 2,167$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 31c | 2,066$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.93 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…8e7fbacked Yes | 69c | 2,044$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…1395backed No | 31c | 2,037$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567b…8dc3backed Yes | 69c | 1,825$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…b7c0backed No | 31c | 1,812$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785c…affebacked Yes | 68c | 1,735$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…204fbacked No | 31c | 1,699$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…4df4backed No | 31c | 1,696$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…7d05backed No | 31c | 1,680$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d14…1d9fbacked No | 31c | 1,663$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…d836backed No | 31c | 1,651$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…726abacked Yes | 69c | 1,537$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,480$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 35c | 1,453$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.35 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,450$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ee…6eb4backed Yes | 69c | 1,433$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.2 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 1,409$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.08 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…d895backed No | 31c | 1,400$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.78 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…4f53backed Yes | 69c | 1,388$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…7b84backed Yes | 49c | 1,357$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…9189backed Yes | 69c | 1,350$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…3337backed Yes | 69c | 1,347$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…2efbbacked Yes | 69c | 1,337$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…5724backed No | 31c | 1,336$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f84…b089backed Yes | 69c | 1,328$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…aaaabacked Yes | 69c | 1,321$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…b5d2backed Yes | 69c | 1,244$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a1…4744backed Yes | 69c | 1,231$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…1d7bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,225$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…1cbcbacked Yes | 69c | 1,220$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…79ccbacked Yes | 69c | 1,213$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 66c | 1,161$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc21…af3ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,138$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 79c | 1,137$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.2 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 35c | 1,092$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…e30ebacked No | 31c | 1,074$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 60c | 1,063$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.87 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…6d50backed Yes | 69c | 1,060$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6589…77c5backed Yes | 69c | 1,056$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9bbabacked Yes | 69c | 1,052$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…687dbacked No | 31c | 1,052$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295e…7b3dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,050$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,048$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…b8cfbacked Yes | 56c | 1,046$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?Yes won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.