Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3f752cf7b411e08fd35064a987fe20419e51626c5b7a0e0f84fd2aef91de86e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes | 13c | 50,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 5,179$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 12c | 4,459$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.02 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 4,057$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.41 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 15c | 2,901$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.41 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 10c | 2,039$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…05eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,953$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 14c | 1,314$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 8c | 1,312$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 9c | 1,102$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b65…2cf8backed Yes | 11c | 992.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 4c | 948.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 11c | 878.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 71c | 774.65$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.65 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 12c | 735.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Yes | 7c | 724.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed No | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 11c | 599.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…4325backed Yes | 3c | 565.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 528$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 7c | 286.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…bfb8backed Yes | 11c | 272.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…8765backed Yes | 13c | 263.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 12c | 253$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 13c | 233.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…0674backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked No | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 123.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed No | 69c | 102.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 12c | 99.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 12c | 99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 11c | 90.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 21.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.