TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No15c27,589$4,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,038.251,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No2c8,317$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8920143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes22c7,788$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,074.864658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c4,244$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.3296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c2,707$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.872,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No3c2,366$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.982560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes22c1,837$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.4427737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No21c1,562$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.6559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No3c1,330$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67565.4%3 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+97.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe0c…5b42backed Yes34c1,322$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No79c1,229$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.59150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes21c1,190$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.487358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes22c1,086$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.773622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes31c1,025$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No80c765.17$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9319549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82cb…6a34backed No79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No80c527.34$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.2352748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes36c491.86$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.8115550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes30c466.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.673046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No78c401.28$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31321548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed No11c391.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.993243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec9…4325backed Yes14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d0…ac67backed Yes64c309.74$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Yes73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No21c217.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.724849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes17c217.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.942055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Yes67c214.65$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.452774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Yes23c207.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.631978.9%15 W · 4 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+59.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No79c195$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…8765backed Yes22c160.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.831729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Yes13c158$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.462842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.53154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1838…6ba8backed Yes22c136.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.362250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.333724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No78c123.24$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.131553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Yes21c115$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.851656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x590b…5e42backed Yes64c114.58$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No79c112.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.11040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No78c111.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3513550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Yes13c111$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.571957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No49c110$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.815450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes21c108.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.075933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked No79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.751266.7%8 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe43f…4171backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+127.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b99…bfb8backed Yes26c94.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe924…b2c7backed No79c88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes30c87.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.251872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+52.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbf1…f54fbacked Yes64c85.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb311…2b64backed Yes20c85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+395.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes15c80$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.257166.2%47 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes32c73.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8911546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Yes21c72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.881566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No31c70.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7213639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Yes21c68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.721471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Yes15c68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.85100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+164.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Yes22c68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.282157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68db…ee32backed Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Yes21c62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.981361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Yes69c60.87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.87475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeac8…bca4backed No80c60$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed No79c60$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.41353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes69c58.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.23875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No79c52.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.312085%17 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b99…db9abacked No68c51.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No79c49.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.883458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked No73c47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked No78c46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.88540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd316…c6bcbacked Yes73c44.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked No79c41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked No78c41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.98922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick59cpaid-56.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x370a…cccebacked No79c40$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No78c38.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7812350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61b6…dc2fbacked Yes67c37.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Yes29c35.86$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+113.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x78a4…05afbacked No79c32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2850%0 W · 5 L-3.1wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde06…0db1backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c7…fee8backed Yes80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+89.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked No78c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.42326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.9wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d8d…6659backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…4a12backed Yes63c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6803…4d76backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca10…66cabacked Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb1…4c29backed Yes72c26.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes76c26.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.35540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No79c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7511354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2342…d7cebacked No79c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No79c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.758550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed No79c23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.17966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x888b…8f3fbacked No79c23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc27…cf52backed Yes71c21.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No80c20.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed No74c20.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.998525.9%22 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.