Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x698a4d742ca8835f6d67a928e40502306db4a386cbe1a9980ee7d61bae4b58da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $551,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $528,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $551,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 23c | 20,826$4,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 77c | 14,046$10,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.53 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 9,338$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.33 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 78c | 7,922$6,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.84 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 6,191$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.92 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8c…dd1cbacked Yes | 24c | 5,388$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 5,111$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.48 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 22c | 5,090$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.7 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef7…a192backed Yes | 24c | 4,313$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed Yes | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x733f…4db3backed Yes | 24c | 3,969$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…3189backed Yes | 24c | 3,768$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…5b1cbacked Yes | 24c | 3,730$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…6bbfbacked Yes | 24c | 3,546$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1302…0752backed Yes | 24c | 3,301$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 23c | 3,263$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.96 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd0…2316backed Yes | 24c | 3,237$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 3,199$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.24 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…c4adbacked Yes | 24c | 3,161$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…5cacbacked Yes | 24c | 3,060$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45bf…a76dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,953$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f00…97b5backed Yes | 24c | 2,929$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…ff5abacked No | 76c | 2,813$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…a903backed No | 76c | 2,748$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6e…cfbcbacked Yes | 24c | 2,721$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…8bd2backed Yes | 24c | 2,677$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc21…af3ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,611$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…3c2cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,595$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…c522backed Yes | 24c | 2,517$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…6023backed Yes | 24c | 2,503$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa7…d476backed Yes | 24c | 2,488$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c4…8984backed Yes | 24c | 2,480$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 22c | 2,468$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.92 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 21c | 2,400$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.98 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 76c | 2,330$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.21 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7b52backed Yes | 24c | 2,300$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6589…77c5backed Yes | 24c | 2,159$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…f5d2backed No | 76c | 2,129$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac1…6c44backed Yes | 24c | 2,112$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd8…14d5backed Yes | 24c | 2,052$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…6b28backed No | 76c | 2,031$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…8f19backed Yes | 24c | 2,009$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fc…e5d8backed Yes | 24c | 1,991$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1c…7f2dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,950$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728b…e8a4backed Yes | 24c | 1,918$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 79c | 1,899$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.73 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 79c | 1,888$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.48 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…0945backed Yes | 24c | 1,881$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…e481backed Yes | 24c | 1,832$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2922…5422backed Yes | 24c | 1,776$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…14d4backed No | 76c | 1,758$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…263abacked Yes | 24c | 1,737$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd54c…b42dbacked No | 76c | 1,725$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 1,717$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.17 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2597…6fccbacked Yes | 24c | 1,707$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…4e26backed No | 76c | 1,702$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…9076backed Yes | 24c | 1,675$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…d314backed No | 76c | 1,667$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…3f52backed No | 76c | 1,638$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…444abacked Yes | 24c | 1,605$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb10…64a0backed No | 76c | 1,604$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…d405backed No | 76c | 1,592$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…622cbacked No | 76c | 1,591$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3398…4de3backed No | 76c | 1,588$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…df22backed Yes | 24c | 1,575$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…49d0backed Yes | 24c | 1,572$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 1,562$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.94 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…30bcbacked Yes | 24c | 1,559$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e0…2d3fbacked No | 78c | 1,538$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…a0f5backed No | 76c | 1,505$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…74d6backed Yes | 24c | 1,456$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8418…368fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,432$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…c87abacked Yes | 24c | 1,424$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…da83backed Yes | 24c | 1,420$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…7f23backed Yes | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…31bcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,361$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…e30ebacked No | 76c | 1,349$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…6b6abacked Yes | 24c | 1,345$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…1db2backed Yes | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…6470backed Yes | 24c | 1,325$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…b419backed Yes | 24c | 1,317$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…567fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,315$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…3d59backed Yes | 24c | 1,296$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x771e…3792backed Yes | 24c | 1,262$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…e2cabacked No | 76c | 1,259$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a93…0cf5backed No | 76c | 1,247$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…0617backed No | 76c | 1,244$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…042abacked No | 76c | 1,236$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 21c | 1,223$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.13 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…23debacked No | 76c | 1,221$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…6c18backed Yes | 24c | 1,211$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8620…d8bcbacked Yes | 24c | 1,199$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.