Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x148dea70adf1050bf53f2ffcfe3d4d958bd2a8b653824a6e4494729fcd6f0ce7

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,124,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,337,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,124,400 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 902 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	44c	75,449$33,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,406.64	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	53c	69,568$36,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,649.52	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes	55c	68,595$37,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,106.15	70	28.6%20 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes	52c	65,000$33,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,199.99	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-5.2wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No	47c	63,492$29,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,686.54	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked No	47c	56,475$26,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,715.79	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	53c	56,371$29,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,554.46	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No	47c	44,513$20,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,833.56	211	54.5%115 W · 96 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No	48c	36,575$17,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,555.99	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-7.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed No	48c	34,072$16,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,354.76	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.3wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+35%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	45c	32,835$14,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,799.75	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No	47c	31,857$14,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,954.36	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+9.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes	54c	30,000$16,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,799.97	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes	54c	22,222$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,222.12	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	33c	19,803$6,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,574.73	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes	52c	18,888$9,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,066.24	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	48c	16,858$8,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,091.69	187	58.8%110 W · 77 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No	47c	15,815$7,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,431.66	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No	48c	15,000$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,200	159	49.1%78 W · 81 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No	29c	14,242$4,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,166.33	277	50.9%141 W · 136 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d0…8449backed Yes	72c	14,124$10,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,952.82	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+53.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	46c	13,812$6,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,353.6	1,179	50%590 W · 589 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d7…1252backed Yes	80c	12,565$10,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,559.29	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	76cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No	49c	10,000$4,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,882.5	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	46cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes	54c	9,999$5,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,599.54	189	48.7%92 W · 97 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	30c	9,781$2,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,904.55	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	39c	9,401$3,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,649.87	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa0…488bbacked Yes	53c	9,183$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,283.15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No	48c	8,929$4,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,285.92	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+9.2wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked No	48c	8,333$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No	46c	8,280$3,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,808.77	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	46c	8,026$3,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,704.61	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	46c	7,160$3,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,298.29	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No	46c	7,004$3,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,221.8	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	45c	6,872$3,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,091.91	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No	47c	6,850$3,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,219.49	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	45c	6,770$3,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,064.2	319	44.5%142 W · 177 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	1c	6,733$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.33	253	29.2%74 W · 179 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbee9…269dbacked Yes	53c	6,557$3,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,081.81	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed No	1c	6,365$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206e…e75ebacked No	48c	6,250$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No	46c	6,000$2,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,759.98	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No	48c	6,000$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,879.98	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed No	48c	5,821$2,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,794.07	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No	46c	5,711$2,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,637.19	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No	46c	5,710$2,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,626.71	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes	54c	5,556$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,555.56	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No	44c	5,471$2,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,429.31	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No	47c	5,335$2,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,507.66	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked No	49c	5,126$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No	49c	5,120$2,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,508.8	109	62.4%68 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes	52c	5,047$2,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,422.17	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	-7.3wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	258	36%93 W · 165 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed No	28c	5,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.99	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No	46c	5,000$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,319.98	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,299.96	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes	47c	5,000$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,649.9	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes	53c	4,850$2,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,282.56	227	44.5%101 W · 126 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked No	46c	4,200$1,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,931.95	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Yes	54c	3,704$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,703.7	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No	48c	3,500$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No	46c	3,261$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes	54c	3,241$1,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,490.74	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Yes	53c	3,220$1,706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,513.18	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No	46c	3,000$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,379.99	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes	53c	2,830$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330.19	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad0…12e9backed Yes	55c	2,328$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047.41	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes	72c	2,222$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.16	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes	54c	2,176$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.93	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Yes	47c	2,159$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,133.97	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes	53c	2,091$1,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$988.33	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…cc66backed Yes	57c	2,079$1,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.71	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No	48c	2,049$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.81	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	531	34.5%183 W · 348 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No	47c	2,000$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.94	141	47.5%67 W · 74 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed No	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No	45c	1,900$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.97	197	35.5%70 W · 127 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7054…af6ebacked Yes	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.79	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No	45c	1,864$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.48	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes	54c	1,852$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.85	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No	46c	1,850$851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850.96	75	42.7%32 W · 43 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a19…2833backed Yes	55c	1,835$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825.81	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0c…5b42backed Yes	72c	1,834$1,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.62	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No	30c	1,827$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.04	344	28.8%99 W · 245 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.18	123	45.5%56 W · 67 L	-10.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5571…4015backed Yes	54c	1,667$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$766.67	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes	72c	1,654$1,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.06	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	-6.9wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Yes	53c	1,598$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.11	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes	54c	1,513$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.96	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Yes	53c	1,504$797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.77	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No	48c	1,392$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.16	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No	46c	1,390$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.33	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Yes	52c	1,364$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.35	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No	47c	1,354$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.09	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes	53c	1,313$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.33	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-10.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbdcd…594abacked Yes	53c	1,309$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.96	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+27%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed No	1c	1,300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf45…c508backed Yes	52c	1,205$629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.4	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?this page
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-14?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event