Lol · resolved market
LoL: SPAXFAMILY vs Priority (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x235dc0165d73538375e3cda98db5c1b1e9824b2a96383567d0f7a2ca85df8560
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Priorityof SPAXFAMILY, Priority
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed SPAXFAMILY | 66c | 6,212$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.23 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Priority | 33c | 4,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Priority | 36c | 1,952$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.72 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed SPAXFAMILY | 66c | 1,748$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 219 | 54.3%119 W · 100 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Priority | 33c | 1,307$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.58 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed SPAXFAMILY | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed SPAXFAMILY | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed SPAXFAMILY | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Priority | 34c | 795.34$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.92 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed SPAXFAMILY | 69c | 749.99$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.75 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Priority | 33c | 675.57$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Priority | 34c | 660$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked SPAXFAMILY | 43c | 653.81$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.7 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc720…8be1backed Priority | 36c | 617.51$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…861abacked SPAXFAMILY | 69c | 603.39$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPAXFAMILY | 21c | 585.17$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…b4d4backed Priority | 35c | 570.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…3ef2backed SPAXFAMILY | 69c | 546.53$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Priority | 32c | 435.88$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.88 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…40bbbacked Priority | 75c | 407.71$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed SPAXFAMILY | 66c | 405.2$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.43 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed Priority | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Priority | 35c | 362.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.03 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Priority | 35c | 333.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.54 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed SPAXFAMILY | 15c | 328.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Priority | 34c | 310$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPAXFAMILY | 28c | 305.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Priority | 35c | 292.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.22 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed SPAXFAMILY | 66c | 277$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Priority | 31c | 260.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.85 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…267ebacked Priority | 35c | 239.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Priority | 43c | 230.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Priority | 39c | 199.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…1ab1backed SPAXFAMILY | 68c | 171$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Priority | 33c | 140$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked SPAXFAMILY | 69c | 138.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed SPAXFAMILY | 17c | 133.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Priority | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Priority | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Priority | 41c | 97.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked SPAXFAMILY | 68c | 90.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…c283backed Priority | 33c | 88.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Priority | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Priority | 32c | 79.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked SPAXFAMILY | 67c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Priority | 32c | 63.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed SPAXFAMILY | 35c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed SPAXFAMILY | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked SPAXFAMILY | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Priority | 42c | 59.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed SPAXFAMILY | 61c | 59.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Priority | 34c | 58.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Priority | 34c | 58.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked SPAXFAMILY | 58c | 57.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed SPAXFAMILY | 22c | 57.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Priority | 34c | 54.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…4689backed Priority | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…4ba7backed SPAXFAMILY | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked SPAXFAMILY | 58c | 47.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked SPAXFAMILY | 67c | 45.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed SPAXFAMILY | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed SPAXFAMILY | 64c | 37.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…a35cbacked Priority | 35c | 34.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…74d7backed SPAXFAMILY | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked SPAXFAMILY | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 66.9%95 W · 47 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked SPAXFAMILY | 59c | 33.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked SPAXFAMILY | 59c | 33.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Priority | 41c | 31.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed SPAXFAMILY | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 62%80 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed SPAXFAMILY | 68c | 22.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked SPAXFAMILY | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…375ebacked SPAXFAMILY | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: SPAXFAMILY vs Priority (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: SPAX (-1.5) vs Priority (+1.5)Priority won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: SPAXFAMILY vs Priority - Game 1 WinnerPriority won
- LoL: SPAXFAMILY vs Priority - Game 2 WinnerPriority won
- LoL: SPAXFAMILY vs Priority - Game 3 WinnerPriority won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.