Lol · resolved market
LoL: Deer Gaming vs Arctic Pandas (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf928c7f3da1b898b6ab1fa8f70c3931e6a23b21f46fcdd480032e254ba4f6e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arctic Pandasof Deer Gaming, Arctic Pandas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Deer Gaming | 0c | 6,511$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Deer Gaming | 30c | 6,495$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.85 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arctic Pandas | 69c | 3,185$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.02 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Deer Gaming | 26c | 2,685$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.87 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Deer Gaming | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arctic Pandas | 75c | 1,895$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.37 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Deer Gaming | 24c | 1,505$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.95 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Arctic Pandas | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Arctic Pandas | 60c | 1,442$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.3 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…cfb4backed Deer Gaming | 15c | 1,200$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Deer Gaming | 40c | 912.95$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.75 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Deer Gaming | 33c | 769$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.81 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Arctic Pandas | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Deer Gaming | 28c | 700$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Deer Gaming | 34c | 676.48$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Arctic Pandas | 76c | 659.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.2 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Deer Gaming | 25c | 608$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.56 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…0a9cbacked Arctic Pandas | 64c | 549.2$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Arctic Pandas | 58c | 523.62$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Arctic Pandas | 59c | 516$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Arctic Pandas | 63c | 510.29$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.17 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Deer Gaming | 5c | 488$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 222 | 34.7%77 W · 145 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Deer Gaming | 33c | 474.4$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.59 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arctic Pandas | 70c | 462$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arctic Pandas | 65c | 453.35$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Deer Gaming | 34c | 442$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Deer Gaming | 35c | 431.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Deer Gaming | 34c | 423.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Deer Gaming | 25c | 400$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Arctic Pandas | 58c | 367.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Arctic Pandas | 60c | 296.03$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Arctic Pandas | 66c | 289.61$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Deer Gaming | 25c | 285.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Arctic Pandas | 67c | 280.19$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Arctic Pandas | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Arctic Pandas | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Deer Gaming | 34c | 197$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…6cb4backed Arctic Pandas | 61c | 182.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Deer Gaming | 33c | 173.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arctic Pandas | 59c | 166.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Deer Gaming | 22c | 166.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Deer Gaming | 26c | 158.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Arctic Pandas | 57c | 157.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Arctic Pandas | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 236 | 74.6%176 W · 60 L | +17.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Arctic Pandas | 73c | 155.48$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Arctic Pandas | 73c | 151.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Deer Gaming | 35c | 147.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Deer Gaming | 25c | 139.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Arctic Pandas | 78c | 133.26$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Deer Gaming | 33c | 124.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked Arctic Pandas | 65c | 123.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Deer Gaming | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Deer Gaming | 31c | 117.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Deer Gaming | 34c | 100.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Deer Gaming | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Deer Gaming | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Deer Gaming | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Arctic Pandas | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Arctic Pandas | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…192cbacked Arctic Pandas | 60c | 54.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Deer Gaming | 36c | 51.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arctic Pandas | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Deer Gaming | 34c | 44.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Deer Gaming | 35c | 43.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…74d7backed Deer Gaming | 35c | 42.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Deer Gaming | 25c | 41.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Arctic Pandas | 57c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Arctic Pandas | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Arctic Pandas | 76c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Deer Gaming | 35c | 31.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Arctic Pandas | 67c | 31.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Arctic Pandas | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Arctic Pandas | 70c | 27.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Arctic Pandas | 66c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Arctic Pandas | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Arctic Pandas | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Arctic Pandas | 67c | 15.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.