TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5311…b20f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggetsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$42.31
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$98.56
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$74.68
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.19
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.65
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$26.71
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$33.67
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$67.08
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$60.51
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$28.42
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.24
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.1
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.82
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.14
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$55.58
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$50.82
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.38
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$46.43
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.55
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LSU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.57
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+30.2%+$6.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$37.69
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$7.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$46.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.