NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x857db64f087d5f3534f6c94ea3fe099d425a3c20d84b97af54628b72e5084145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denver Nuggetsof Toronto Raptors, Denver Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Denver Nuggets | 41c | 24,444$10,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,421.96 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Raptors | 59c | 24,436$14,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,417.52 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Toronto Raptors | 5c | 15,886$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.4 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Raptors | 48c | 5,347$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.24 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Denver Nuggets | 30c | 4,923$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +228.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Denver Nuggets | 38c | 3,146$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.76 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Toronto Raptors | 59c | 2,564$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Denver Nuggets | 56c | 2,501$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…3d72backed Toronto Raptors | 67c | 2,134$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Denver Nuggets | 48c | 2,029$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.14 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Raptors | 31c | 1,712$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.48 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Denver Nuggets | 43c | 1,614$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.31 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Raptors | 47c | 1,480$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Raptors | 54c | 1,400$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.32 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Toronto Raptors | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Toronto Raptors | 63c | 1,273$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.56 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Denver Nuggets | 67c | 1,138$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.06 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Denver Nuggets | 51c | 1,115$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.39 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Toronto Raptors | 19c | 1,018$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.94 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Toronto Raptors | 10c | 1,014$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Denver Nuggets | 42c | 1,014$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.98 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Toronto Raptors | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Toronto Raptors | 52c | 888.62$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.64 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Denver Nuggets | 41c | 764.96$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.33 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…89bcbacked Denver Nuggets | 42c | 720.71$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Toronto Raptors | 68c | 700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…31fdbacked Toronto Raptors | 64c | 697.04$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Toronto Raptors | 59c | 677.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Denver Nuggets | 40c | 664.43$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Toronto Raptors | 69c | 661$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.79 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Denver Nuggets | 33c | 619.84$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.52per pick | 35cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Toronto Raptors | 2c | 596.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Denver Nuggets | 76c | 578$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.86 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Toronto Raptors | 71c | 535.89$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Toronto Raptors | 65c | 490.54$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.92 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Denver Nuggets | 66c | 464.31$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…4410backed Toronto Raptors | 59c | 440.16$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Denver Nuggets | 30c | 438$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.71 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Toronto Raptors | 16c | 436.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4103backed Toronto Raptors | 61c | 434.48$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Denver Nuggets | 43c | 431.81$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.13 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Denver Nuggets | 30c | 387.88$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 377.77$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Denver Nuggets | 67c | 360.74$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Denver Nuggets | 28c | 353.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.69 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Denver Nuggets | 40c | 352.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.31 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…f851backed Toronto Raptors | 55c | 303.88$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.9 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Toronto Raptors | 35c | 299.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Toronto Raptors | 57c | 245.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Denver Nuggets | 67c | 236.73$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Toronto Raptors | 45c | 224.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Denver Nuggets | 34c | 209.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +13.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Denver Nuggets | 52c | 203.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 203.39$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 202.34$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Denver Nuggets | 64c | 200.2$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Toronto Raptors | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Denver Nuggets | 46c | 199.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 190.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Toronto Raptors | 58c | 189.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2d…8a14backed Toronto Raptors | 62c | 187.73$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Toronto Raptors | 58c | 186.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Toronto Raptors | 55c | 179.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Denver Nuggets | 54c | 177.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked Toronto Raptors | 61c | 165.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…61b5backed Toronto Raptors | 9c | 157.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dd8abacked Toronto Raptors | 18c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Denver Nuggets | 41c | 146.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Denver Nuggets | 45c | 144$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 140.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked Toronto Raptors | 36c | 138.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Denver Nuggets | 44c | 136.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 271 | 45.4%123 W · 148 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Toronto Raptors | 18c | 135.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Denver Nuggets | 40c | 125.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Toronto Raptors | 16c | 125.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Toronto Raptors | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa594…fe78backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 118.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…a4e4backed Toronto Raptors | 60c | 117.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Denver Nuggets | 37c | 106.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Raptors | 62c | 106.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Denver Nuggets | 41c | 106.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Denver Nuggets | 41c | 104.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Denver Nuggets | 37c | 104.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Denver Nuggets | 41c | 100.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Toronto Raptors | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…6382backed Toronto Raptors | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…f7ecbacked Toronto Raptors | 70c | 99.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Toronto Raptors | 66c | 93.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Toronto Raptors | 56c | 88.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…a78ebacked Denver Nuggets | 34c | 85.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +192.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Toronto Raptors | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Toronto Raptors | 59c | 84.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Denver Nuggets | 37c | 77.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Toronto Raptors | 71c | 70.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…31bfbacked Toronto Raptors | 70c | 69.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…4758backed Denver Nuggets | 37c | 67.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Toronto Raptors | 76c | 66.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4ed8backed Denver Nuggets | 31c | 63.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…9ddbbacked Denver Nuggets | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Denver Nuggets | 41c | 59.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.