TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Duke Blue Devilsof St. John's Red Storm, Duke Blue Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,065,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,913,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,065,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,063 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed St. John's Red Storm29c859,350$248,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248,206.4717742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Duke Blue Devils72c709,244$510,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198,588.322445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a0…9a09backed Duke Blue Devils66c341,827$225,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,221.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick55cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed St. John's Red Storm36c254,338$90,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,718.434943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked St. John's Red Storm28c122,965$34,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,644.911,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Duke Blue Devils66c114,097$75,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,792.913158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed St. John's Red Storm34c100,000$34,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,999.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed St. John's Red Storm27c100,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,999.981421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-60.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Duke Blue Devils72c87,095$62,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,386.723455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed St. John's Red Storm30c70,000$20,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,8008946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed Duke Blue Devils69c66,092$45,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,509.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked St. John's Red Storm28c59,830$16,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,752.392425%6 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x184f…05e5backed St. John's Red Storm31c58,646$18,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,414.763129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f78…bbe8backed St. John's Red Storm28c58,000$16,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,24050%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Duke Blue Devils66c57,454$37,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,534.5384147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed St. John's Red Storm28c52,782$14,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,894.466056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed St. John's Red Storm28c39,834$11,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,153.6221149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Duke Blue Devils71c39,230$27,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,376.818744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbca…9863backed St. John's Red Storm34c35,100$11,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,93410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Duke Blue Devils64c34,347$22,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,202.3346246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked St. John's Red Storm27c30,060$8,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,116.848148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Duke Blue Devils71c30,000$21,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,699.94955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Duke Blue Devils72c29,967$21,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,392.0314854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Duke Blue Devils70c27,136$19,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,044.3818954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed St. John's Red Storm28c24,999$6,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,921.958232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7202…e51abacked St. John's Red Storm28c24,950$6,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9861040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked St. John's Red Storm29c24,937$7,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,281.552917.2%5 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-69.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked St. John's Red Storm30c20,821$6,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,215.5749345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed St. John's Red Storm29c20,504$5,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,946.31258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Duke Blue Devils70c19,956$13,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,014.4725043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed St. John's Red Storm28c17,836$4,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,994.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe990…dcfcbacked Duke Blue Devils58c17,630$10,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,404.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…38e2backed St. John's Red Storm28c16,840$4,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,744.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed St. John's Red Storm45c16,568$7,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,427.4825145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed St. John's Red Storm12c15,927$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed St. John's Red Storm32c15,681$5,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,030.922,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked St. John's Red Storm34c15,462$5,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,257.251926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed St. John's Red Storm28c15,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20030139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed St. John's Red Storm34c15,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10036944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed St. John's Red Storm28c14,430$4,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,081.673,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Duke Blue Devils70c13,603$9,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,107.292070%14 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Duke Blue Devils61c12,683$7,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,934.82055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed St. John's Red Storm29c11,943$3,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,463.5617643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Duke Blue Devils76c11,473$8,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.329839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1666…d926backed St. John's Red Storm0c11,430$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed Duke Blue Devils66c11,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7001050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duke Blue Devils78c10,884$8,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.181,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked St. John's Red Storm34c10,843$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,651.211643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+90.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked St. John's Red Storm6c10,213$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.3731837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked St. John's Red Storm28c10,127$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.581225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed St. John's Red Storm28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8002231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed St. John's Red Storm28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-78.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed St. John's Red Storm28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Duke Blue Devils71c9,980$7,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,895.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba69…8e9dbacked St. John's Red Storm28c9,965$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Duke Blue Devils43c9,914$4,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,651.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed St. John's Red Storm33c9,832$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.446331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Duke Blue Devils63c9,575$6,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.746752.2%35 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed St. John's Red Storm41c9,478$3,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,877.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed St. John's Red Storm37c9,382$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,471.45650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed St. John's Red Storm23c9,254$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.793237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed St. John's Red Storm37c9,177$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.63616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Duke Blue Devils72c9,142$6,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,604.321,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Duke Blue Devils71c9,038$6,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,620.989860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed St. John's Red Storm28c8,866$2,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.362917.2%5 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-67.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Duke Blue Devils71c8,012$5,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-61.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Duke Blue Devils63c7,929$4,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.242437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed St. John's Red Storm36c7,843$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,795.388246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Duke Blue Devils71c7,500$5,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.981883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21a3…eeb5backed St. John's Red Storm29c7,294$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Duke Blue Devils65c7,200$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5205536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3491…5909backed Duke Blue Devils73c6,880$5,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed St. John's Red Storm35c6,766$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.954057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Duke Blue Devils73c6,753$4,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.446852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed St. John's Red Storm29c6,572$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.8521636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Duke Blue Devils72c6,252$4,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.561060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4c…685dbacked St. John's Red Storm29c6,178$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Duke Blue Devils72c6,129$4,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.031283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60f8…d699backed St. John's Red Storm19c6,009$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.311435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Duke Blue Devils71c5,617$4,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.315437%20 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Duke Blue Devils66c5,600$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.992661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Duke Blue Devils71c5,583$3,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.371850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8633…a08dbacked St. John's Red Storm30c5,476$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.532050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked St. John's Red Storm29c5,475$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.154946.9%23 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe726…052cbacked St. John's Red Storm28c5,405$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.51922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Duke Blue Devils68c5,378$3,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.363138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Duke Blue Devils68c5,336$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.734,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked St. John's Red Storm28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebfd…dd70backed Duke Blue Devils72c4,989$3,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.953345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Duke Blue Devils78c4,989$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed St. John's Red Storm43c4,955$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.5614940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Duke Blue Devils50c4,939$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ac…2c21backed Duke Blue Devils50c4,920$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6e…5126backed St. John's Red Storm6c4,812$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked St. John's Red Storm37c4,603$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.021942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Duke Blue Devils76c4,527$3,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.55,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed St. John's Red Storm7c4,330$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.081010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-82%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1835…b828backed Duke Blue Devils73c4,326$3,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked St. John's Red Storm22c4,155$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.114436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646c…4392backed Duke Blue Devils71c4,148$2,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+86.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.