Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x891e9e5612fb38538cfc8e972e8298f51112d78817f73fbfa73d55f5a2a9b477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof St. John's Red Storm, Duke Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,065,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,913,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,065,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,063 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed St. John's Red Storm | 29c | 859,350$248,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248,206.47 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Duke Blue Devils | 72c | 709,244$510,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198,588.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Duke Blue Devils | 66c | 341,827$225,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,221.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. John's Red Storm | 36c | 254,338$90,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,718.4 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 122,965$34,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,644.91 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Duke Blue Devils | 66c | 114,097$75,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,792.91 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed St. John's Red Storm | 34c | 100,000$34,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,999.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed St. John's Red Storm | 27c | 100,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,999.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 72c | 87,095$62,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,386.72 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed St. John's Red Storm | 30c | 70,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Duke Blue Devils | 69c | 66,092$45,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,509.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 59,830$16,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,752.39 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…05e5backed St. John's Red Storm | 31c | 58,646$18,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,414.76 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…bbe8backed St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 58,000$16,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,240 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Duke Blue Devils | 66c | 57,454$37,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,534.53 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 52,782$14,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,894.46 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 39,834$11,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,153.62 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 39,230$27,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,376.8 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed St. John's Red Storm | 34c | 35,100$11,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,934 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Duke Blue Devils | 64c | 34,347$22,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,202.33 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked St. John's Red Storm | 27c | 30,060$8,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,116.84 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 30,000$21,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Duke Blue Devils | 72c | 29,967$21,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,392.03 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Duke Blue Devils | 70c | 27,136$19,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,044.38 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 24,999$6,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,921.95 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 24,950$6,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,986 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked St. John's Red Storm | 29c | 24,937$7,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,281.55 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 30c | 20,821$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,215.57 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed St. John's Red Storm | 29c | 20,504$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,946.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 70c | 19,956$13,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,014.47 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 17,836$4,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe990…dcfcbacked Duke Blue Devils | 58c | 17,630$10,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,404.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…38e2backed St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 16,840$4,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed St. John's Red Storm | 45c | 16,568$7,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,427.48 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed St. John's Red Storm | 12c | 15,927$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. John's Red Storm | 32c | 15,681$5,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030.92 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 34c | 15,462$5,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,257.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 15,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed St. John's Red Storm | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 14,430$4,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081.67 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Duke Blue Devils | 70c | 13,603$9,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,107.29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Duke Blue Devils | 61c | 12,683$7,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,934.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed St. John's Red Storm | 29c | 11,943$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.56 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Duke Blue Devils | 76c | 11,473$8,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.32 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…d926backed St. John's Red Storm | 0c | 11,430$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Duke Blue Devils | 66c | 11,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 10,884$8,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.18 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 34c | 10,843$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,651.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked St. John's Red Storm | 6c | 10,213$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.37 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 10,127$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 9,980$7,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 9,965$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Duke Blue Devils | 43c | 9,914$4,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed St. John's Red Storm | 33c | 9,832$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.44 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Duke Blue Devils | 63c | 9,575$6,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.74 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed St. John's Red Storm | 41c | 9,478$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed St. John's Red Storm | 37c | 9,382$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed St. John's Red Storm | 23c | 9,254$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.79 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed St. John's Red Storm | 37c | 9,177$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Duke Blue Devils | 72c | 9,142$6,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.32 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 9,038$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.98 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 8,866$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.36 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 8,012$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Duke Blue Devils | 63c | 7,929$4,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed St. John's Red Storm | 36c | 7,843$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.38 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 7,500$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.98 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…eeb5backed St. John's Red Storm | 29c | 7,294$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Duke Blue Devils | 65c | 7,200$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…5909backed Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 6,880$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed St. John's Red Storm | 35c | 6,766$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.95 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 6,753$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.44 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed St. John's Red Storm | 29c | 6,572$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.85 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Duke Blue Devils | 72c | 6,252$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…685dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 29c | 6,178$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Duke Blue Devils | 72c | 6,129$4,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.03 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…d699backed St. John's Red Storm | 19c | 6,009$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 5,617$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.31 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Duke Blue Devils | 66c | 5,600$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 5,583$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…a08dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 30c | 5,476$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 29c | 5,475$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…052cbacked St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 5,405$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Duke Blue Devils | 68c | 5,378$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.36 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 68c | 5,336$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed Duke Blue Devils | 72c | 4,989$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.95 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 4,989$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed St. John's Red Storm | 43c | 4,955$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.56 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 4,939$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 4,920$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…5126backed St. John's Red Storm | 6c | 4,812$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked St. John's Red Storm | 37c | 4,603$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duke Blue Devils | 76c | 4,527$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. John's Red Storm | 7c | 4,330$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -82%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…b828backed Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 4,326$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked St. John's Red Storm | 22c | 4,155$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.11 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…4392backed Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 4,148$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsthis page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-2.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-3.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 148.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 153.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.