Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa35f01a72b4f07b7e3b67d582c63620e34ed13cc4b9f2457853a3ccfb5436049
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 23,932$11,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,480.61 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 23,634$12,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,580.5 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 48c | 20,420$9,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,801.62 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 13,503$7,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,501.35 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 49c | 7,945$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.05 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 9c | 1,629$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 1,435$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.5 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 1,243$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.09 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,236$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.59 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Under | 50c | 1,120$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.06 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed Under | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 52c | 946.22$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 477.05$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 372.8$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 296.39$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.27 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 190.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 48c | 188.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 46c | 151.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 139.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 49c | 137.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Under | 50c | 102.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…e281backed Over | 52c | 93.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Over | 52c | 85.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 62.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d63…1f72backed Under | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 51c | 33.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Under | 48c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 50c | 23.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…a428backed Over | 51c | 21.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…76f4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5this page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-2.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-3.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 148.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 153.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.