Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x594d9b1fbc50e4257fd42a609bd838b0f19c619040ca3de11fab52f721b940a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $451,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 49c | 66,192$32,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,334.93 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 51c | 63,450$32,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,323.33 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 39,767$19,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,593.41 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 49c | 35,184$17,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,995.65 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 51c | 24,098$12,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,290.09 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 52c | 19,825$10,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,309.15 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 51c | 15,252$7,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,854.76 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 14,309$6,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,392.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Over | 47c | 11,918$5,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,316.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 50c | 10,740$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,370 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 51c | 9,718$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.27 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over | 47c | 8,481$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.79 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 48c | 6,929$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.23 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 6,091$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 48c | 5,811$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.67 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 5,681$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Over | 49c | 5,467$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.41 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Over | 52c | 5,400$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 48c | 5,342$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.24 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 48c | 5,185$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.06 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Over | 48c | 5,015$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over | 49c | 4,966$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.25 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…f812backed Over | 47c | 4,560$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Over | 49c | 4,486$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.42 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 4,484$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.3 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 50c | 4,201$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.46 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 48c | 4,102$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Over | 50c | 3,780$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.71 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 48c | 3,715$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.28 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Under | 51c | 3,700$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 49c | 3,617$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.92 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 50c | 3,598$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 49c | 3,569$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.94 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -7.2wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Under | 53c | 3,382$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 49c | 3,226$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.62 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…06eebacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 2,723$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.38 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 47c | 2,647$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.06 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 2,419$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.24 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Under | 52c | 2,203$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…2f25backed Under | 49c | 2,120$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 2,043$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.99 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under | 51c | 2,013$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.67 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf063…64dbbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…5682backed Over | 51c | 1,966$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 48c | 1,941$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Over | 47c | 1,940$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…20b2backed Over | 51c | 1,860$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Under | 52c | 1,749$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 52c | 1,584$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…74d9backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…4cf8backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…1548backed Over | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423e…06f9backed Over | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 48c | 1,365$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.09 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…a80dbacked Over | 51c | 1,340$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…47e7backed Over | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…8c61backed Over | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 1,214$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.03 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…93d5backed Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…0ecbbacked Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…9b13backed Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…86abbacked Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Under | 49c | 1,127$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.13 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…fffdbacked Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…98babacked Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…faefbacked Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 39cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…2efbbacked Over | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Over | 47c | 1,010$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 52c | 1,004$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.41 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.02 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…7894backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6440…85e2backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…0626backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…2aa9backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d9…bdd5backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47da…ce18backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3862…5cdebacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…0814backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…9488backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7f…8a2dbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…e0efbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…e766backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…07b9backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…f5acbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…f863backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5this page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-2.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-3.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 148.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 153.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.