Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee09e7ad4876f3403678d8eb6de4898a780841de59e634e262985f11b291a471
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof Duke Blue Devils, St. John's Red Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,421,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,610,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,421,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 123,805$61,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,542.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 103,487$52,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,707.73 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 102,297$51,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,704.29 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 99,518$50,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,754.05 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 97,032$49,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,676.13 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 87,257$42,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,501.03 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 78,629$38,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,001.73 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 67,904$33,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,951.79 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 65,037$32,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,518.39 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 62,856$32,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,640.55 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 46,916$23,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,077.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 40,000$19,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,699.84 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 38,024$18,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,556.48 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 35,464$17,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,698.99 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 31,720$16,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,494.63 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 29,738$14,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,868.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 28,203$14,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,101.3 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 24,781$12,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,638.48 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 20,495$9,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,626 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 19,825$10,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,309.15 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…b6d3backed St. John's Red Storm | 65c | 15,262$9,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,341.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…f2cfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 11,451$5,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,725.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 10,050$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,025 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 8,853$4,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440.86 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 8,500$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Duke Blue Devils | 45c | 7,500$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.97 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb270…9073backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 7,120$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.98 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 6,265$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.71 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…414dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 6,100$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…2005backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 5,984$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 5,780$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. John's Red Storm | 57c | 5,621$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.9 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 5,555$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.38 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…e370backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 5,413$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Duke Blue Devils | 36c | 5,412$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.59 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 5,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 4,956$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 4,841$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.41 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 4,444$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 4,218$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.51 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 4,046$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.43 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 4,000$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.68 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 3,993$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.28 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 3,965$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e67…a1f3backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 3,813$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…0bcbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 3,807$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 3,798$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.23 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…fc79backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 3,763$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…9709backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 3,756$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 3,738$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.12 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 3,412$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.64 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. John's Red Storm | 60c | 3,301$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.84 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 3,229$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.42 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 3,213$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.95 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 3,189$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.8 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 2,842$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.8 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 2,792$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.9 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 2,738$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.97 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 2,498$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.98 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Duke Blue Devils | 36c | 2,383$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 2,250$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 2,203$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 2,171$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.99 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 2,141$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.55 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…5dbdbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 2,138$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 2,134$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.71 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 2,082$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 2,057$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.24 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked St. John's Red Storm | 44c | 2,030$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 2,020$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.98 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Duke Blue Devils | 16c | 2,018$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.98 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 2,010$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…0501backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd3…de97backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d12…1167backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Duke Blue Devils | 43c | 1,992$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.1 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 1,986$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.47 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 1,983$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.08 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 1,944$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.38 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Duke Blue Devils | 38c | 1,943$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.26 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 1,749$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duke Blue Devils | 41c | 1,710$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 1,619$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.5 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…317abacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 1,584$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-2.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-3.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 148.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 153.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.