Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8240e125e78388f93eae22d71a8136c2c56ab9ffb528a9808fdcf99aef91f6fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 45c | 4,565$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.61 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 55c | 3,123$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.49 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 55c | 2,704$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 54c | 2,609$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.78 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…5732backed Over | 45c | 2,319$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed Over | 45c | 1,991$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.24 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 1,690$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.31 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 55c | 1,541$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.3 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Under | 55c | 1,352$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 44c | 1,309$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.25 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 24c | 1,259$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.85 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed Over | 45c | 1,150$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 55c | 1,105$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.94 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 38c | 1,091$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.82 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over | 45c | 1,009$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.95 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…4244backed Over | 45c | 545.45$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…cbb7backed Under | 55c | 540.73$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Over | 44c | 540.45$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 45c | 528.09$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.45 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 45c | 523.43$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.88 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 444.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.39 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 430.12$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 407$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.92 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 389.47$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Over | 46c | 339.81$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 44c | 337.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 54c | 336.86$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 304.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 7c | 268$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 44c | 260.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 67c | 240.03$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 56c | 212$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 25c | 204.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Under | 50c | 198.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Under | 51c | 192.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 70c | 183.02$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 55c | 180.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Under | 55c | 143.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 49c | 131.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 44c | 123.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 45c | 107.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 70c | 100.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 45c | 98.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 65c | 97.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 28c | 94.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 56c | 89.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 45c | 83.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 75.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 44c | 67.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 30c | 63.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 56.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked Under | 55c | 54.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 30c | 53.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…1f6ebacked Over | 50c | 29.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 55c | 18.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Over | 67c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5this page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-2.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-3.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 148.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 153.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.