Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86ee159282de25f1285b13865d4b537af955fefd1f250a19f6e01e0ce6929ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- InterActive Philippinesof InterActive Philippines, Yangon Galacticos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,873 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Yangon Galacticos | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +230%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…48ffbacked InterActive Philippines | 35c | 837$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +152%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked InterActive Philippines | 79c | 779$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ec…3998backed Yangon Galacticos | 65c | 545$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…404dbacked InterActive Philippines | 36c | 526$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed InterActive Philippines | 24c | 402.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.72 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…c0a5backed Yangon Galacticos | 64c | 315$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…018abacked Yangon Galacticos | 65c | 292$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked InterActive Philippines | 75c | 287.7$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…db51backed InterActive Philippines | 60c | 272.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yangon Galacticos | 42c | 252.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked InterActive Philippines | 70c | 236.24$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Yangon Galacticos | 41c | 229.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…7a16backed Yangon Galacticos | 64c | 210$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d195backed InterActive Philippines | 35c | 205$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed InterActive Philippines | 41c | 172.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yangon Galacticos | 64c | 170.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…c352backed InterActive Philippines | 31c | 167$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Yangon Galacticos | 46c | 153.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…d555backed InterActive Philippines | 34c | 135$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…7babbacked Yangon Galacticos | 63c | 131.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b7…fe5cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…90d3backed InterActive Philippines | 37c | 118$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yangon Galacticos | 67c | 117.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…a368backed Yangon Galacticos | 66c | 105$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yangon Galacticos | 35c | 102.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa381…41b8backed Yangon Galacticos | 69c | 89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabab…8b3ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 65c | 84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked InterActive Philippines | 64c | 81.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Yangon Galacticos | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d1…4764backed Yangon Galacticos | 69c | 77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Yangon Galacticos | 67c | 75.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yangon Galacticos | 27c | 70.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked InterActive Philippines | 37c | 54.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Yangon Galacticos | 39c | 49.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked InterActive Philippines | 38c | 49.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…32a7backed InterActive Philippines | 74c | 41.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yangon Galacticos | 28c | 37.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5311…b20fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yangon Galacticos | 71c | 35.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Yangon Galacticos | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 50c | 30.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…e862backed Yangon Galacticos | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f5…2bf6backed Yangon Galacticos | 67c | 25.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed InterActive Philippines | 68c | 19.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed InterActive Philippines | 57c | 18.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9566…a792backed InterActive Philippines | 69c | 17.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 1 WinnerInterActive Philippines won
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 WinnerYangon Galacticos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.