TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Utah, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,337,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,379,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,337,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 631 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Golden Knights60c597,344$358,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238,937.620354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Utah40c400,000$160,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160,00022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Golden Knights56c107,275$60,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,200.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Utah43c104,560$45,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,407.0440351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Utah40c100,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,0007545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Utah40c50,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Utah42c24,438$10,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,270.311947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights52c20,058$10,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,666.289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Utah45c15,303$6,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,950.1922250%111 W · 111 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Golden Knights59c12,337$7,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,058.2621850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Utah36c11,799$4,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,279.792045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Utah36c10,006$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.212950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Golden Knights55c9,800$5,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,410.241850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Utah48c9,407$4,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,541.421,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Utah45c9,344$4,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,204.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c5…fb0fbacked Golden Knights56c8,964$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,963.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…7404backed Golden Knights56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5202100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Golden Knights65c7,693$5,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.7633652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Utah40c7,669$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,067.7551045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Golden Knights29c7,533$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,332.867244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Utah41c7,527$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.7228749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Utah40c6,792$2,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.816147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Golden Knights60c6,702$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.093354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Golden Knights56c6,692$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.384568.9%31 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Utah45c6,620$2,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,978.9313437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Golden Knights56c5,629$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Utah24c5,589$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.2727044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Golden Knights60c5,571$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.496448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Utah41c5,102$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0925230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Golden Knights59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.983164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Utah41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Golden Knights48c4,778$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.4911251.8%58 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Utah40c4,545$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8181850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Golden Knights56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.298345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah41c4,268$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.771,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Utah47c4,117$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.9624837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Golden Knights78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801625%4 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8302…f88abacked Golden Knights56c3,675$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Utah67c3,624$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.881,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Utah41c3,600$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47613333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Utah40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Golden Knights57c3,489$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.634173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Golden Knights15c3,333$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+86.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Utah40c3,333$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.24139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Utah45c3,100$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Utah44c3,047$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3511838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Utah40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Utah25c2,904$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.214748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights43c2,887$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.652,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Utah42c2,820$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.263450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Utah44c2,782$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.3715448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b6…09e2backed Utah72c2,704$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Utah40c2,600$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.0276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights59c2,531$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.551,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Golden Knights15c2,376$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.3630259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Golden Knights55c2,216$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.3526154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Golden Knights37c2,213$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3863548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbe…9666backed Utah38c2,119$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Golden Knights59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9826750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Utah66c1,905$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.4913850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Utah7c1,900$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Utah7c1,900$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Golden Knights41c1,887$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.8527037.4%101 W · 169 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Utah77c1,819$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.5814946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Utah40c1,817$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.841,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Golden Knights57c1,795$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.32977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Golden Knights56c1,776$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.076354%34 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Utah45c1,744$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78529551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f04…4cd8backed Utah2c1,733$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Utah47c1,710$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Golden Knights59c1,697$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.6513841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31e2…98a8backed Golden Knights60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Golden Knights57c1,634$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.931148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Golden Knights22c1,603$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.567755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4367…e904backed Golden Knights59c1,554$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x523a…8e28backed Golden Knights50c1,535$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.871330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Utah39c1,532$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.4529146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights66c1,518$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.721,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Utah41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Golden Knights54c1,457$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.9511162.2%69 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Utah44c1,455$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6403754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Golden Knights60c1,396$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.6320450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Golden Knights57c1,377$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.3625449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Utah26c1,375$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.5892049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c7…5d22backed Golden Knights30c1,292$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.88445.2%38 W · 46 L+14.8wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+35.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Golden Knights78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Utah41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4921145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4240…7a20backed Golden Knights60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Golden Knights42c1,200$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.216456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f6…194fbacked Utah45c1,102$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Golden Knights59c1,101$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.5545955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c8…76b4backed Golden Knights52c1,054$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.29550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Utah47c1,040$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.876538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Utah40c1,040$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9733554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Golden Knights46c1,000$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5352528%7 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Utah40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5a…e0c0backed Golden Knights60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Utah44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Golden Knights54c944.44$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.444141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.