NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82be294cf21e66fce14f435655538b521106415672169833d24f8fb55dcc2715
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 2,727$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.73 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 47c | 1,904$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.26 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 23c | 1,516$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.97 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,253$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.13 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 57c | 1,030$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Over | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 714.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 53c | 711.19$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.93 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 635.89$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.84 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 559.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.75 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 9c | 546.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 66c | 457.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 42c | 447.21$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.38 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…76b4backed Under | 67c | 300$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 57c | 300$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 45c | 275.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Under | 46c | 269.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 53c | 243.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…c58fbacked Under | 37c | 226.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 36c | 221.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 37c | 217.13$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…bd04backed Under | 59c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Over | 43c | 177.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…775fbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Over | 79c | 157.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 79c | 152.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 16c | 132.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 45c | 120.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 69c | 104.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 55c | 102.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 55c | 100.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Under | 18c | 100.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 57c | 88.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 47c | 87.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 51c | 86.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a60cbacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 44c | 83.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Under | 19c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Under | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 45c | 76.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 60c | 72.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Under | 63c | 55.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 72c | 49.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 34c | 47.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 46.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 44.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb22…82bbbacked Under | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…d945backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 63c | 32.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 68c | 30.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Over | 54c | 23.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 53c | 21.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…bd68backed Under | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.