NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52335b0e7d6b19c415e7e779dc9b1d2ac4886360b43bd5257184c1ce6a1c46a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Under | 6c | 16,843$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.57 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 3,395$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.69 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 54c | 2,861$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.29 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Over | 62c | 1,456$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.52 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 44c | 1,335$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.44 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 60c | 826.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 55c | 700$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 56c | 642.86$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.86 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Over | 55c | 491.37$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.12 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 45c | 458.42$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 455.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.45 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 414.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 59c | 396$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Under | 29c | 379.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 367.1$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 67c | 330.01$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 55c | 312.57$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.58 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 46c | 305$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 289.1$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 249.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 71c | 220$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 6c | 197$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 43c | 149.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 46c | 140.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 48c | 133$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Under | 12c | 125.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 59c | 107.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 54c | 79.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 73c | 71.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…c58fbacked Under | 46c | 67.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 28c | 56.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 27c | 51.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked Under | 46c | 51.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003a…f898backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 73c | 35.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 52c | 35.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 64c | 35.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 63c | 35.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…bf73backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 54c | 31.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 30.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc39f…8f18backed Under | 54c | 26.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 46c | 24.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…2614backed Over | 55c | 20.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 73c | 19.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Over | 72c | 14.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.