NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Colts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf961917c7d316845721908d47e21edc7ca4296b8f2a3854139e5f85d745d6e2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Cardinals, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,646,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,821,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,646,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Cardinals | 22c | 1,293,307$288,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288,870.55 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Colts | 77c | 353,750$273,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,999 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Colts | 78c | 178,692$138,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,091.99 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Colts | 77c | 175,000$135,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,750 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Colts | 77c | 141,788$109,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,931.1 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Cardinals | 22c | 130,328$28,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,162.17 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Colts | 78c | 100,000$78,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Colts | 78c | 91,965$71,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,671.55 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cardinals | 26c | 76,638$20,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,190.88 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Colts | 77c | 71,435$54,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,609.11 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colts | 80c | 62,591$49,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,608.05 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Cardinals | 21c | 61,744$12,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,878.12 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Colts | 78c | 45,946$36,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,924.3 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals | 2c | 38,144$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.09 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Colts | 78c | 35,000$27,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,580 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Colts | 71c | 34,809$24,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,152.03 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Colts | 78c | 33,820$26,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,440.35 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Colts | 73c | 31,169$22,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,376.57 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Colts | 78c | 30,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Cardinals | 21c | 30,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Colts | 78c | 26,911$21,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,806.15 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colts | 78c | 26,471$20,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,841.12 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Colts | 69c | 25,776$17,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,934.81 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Cardinals | 19c | 25,500$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.93 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cardinals | 23c | 24,800$5,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,607.95 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Colts | 78c | 23,533$18,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,177.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Cardinals | 24c | 20,484$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.73 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Colts | 78c | 20,333$15,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Cardinals | 23c | 20,000$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,524.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Colts | 79c | 19,948$15,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.12 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Colts | 76c | 17,783$13,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,268.03 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Colts | 76c | 16,835$12,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040.4 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…37e0backed Cardinals | 20c | 16,600$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Colts | 78c | 15,740$12,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.97 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 20c | 15,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colts | 77c | 15,000$11,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Colts | 78c | 14,000$10,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Colts | 78c | 12,290$9,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.74 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Colts | 68c | 11,082$7,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.28 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Colts | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Colts | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Colts | 79c | 10,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Colts | 78c | 9,615$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Colts | 77c | 9,559$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.55 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Colts | 76c | 8,973$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.86 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colts | 70c | 8,580$5,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.02 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Colts | 77c | 7,830$6,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.9 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Colts | 77c | 7,582$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.89 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Colts | 64c | 7,390$4,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.82 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Colts | 79c | 6,760$5,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.43 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Cardinals | 24c | 6,250$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Cardinals | 23c | 6,177$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.7 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Colts | 80c | 5,574$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.07 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f0…284fbacked Colts | 79c | 5,083$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Cardinals | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Colts | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cardinals | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Colts | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Colts | 73c | 4,754$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.03 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Cardinals | 25c | 4,740$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Colts | 78c | 4,700$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colts | 68c | 4,583$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.54 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 23c | 4,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.99 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…be63backed Colts | 52c | 4,400$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cardinals | 49c | 4,325$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.27 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cardinals | 27c | 4,211$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.43 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Cardinals | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Colts | 70c | 3,813$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.06 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Colts | 79c | 3,291$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.1 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Cardinals | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Colts | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Colts | 72c | 2,947$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.88 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Colts | 80c | 2,829$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Colts | 68c | 2,760$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.8 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Colts | 77c | 2,736$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.97 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colts | 76c | 2,634$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.63 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Colts | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Colts | 76c | 2,624$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.28 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Cardinals | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Cardinals | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 20c | 2,444$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.58 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Cardinals | 3c | 2,424$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…29d7backed Cardinals | 20c | 2,400$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Cardinals | 16c | 2,274$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.57 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Colts | 75c | 2,263$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.68 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colts | 79c | 2,188$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.89 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Colts | 79c | 2,182$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Colts | 49c | 2,042$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.54 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Cardinals | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…30bfbacked Cardinals | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Colts | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Cardinals | 33c | 1,935$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.7 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Cardinals | 25c | 1,918$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.89 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Cardinals | 32c | 1,885$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…283bbacked Cardinals | 20c | 1,809$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Colts | 57c | 1,744$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…2aeabacked Cardinals | 24c | 1,600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Colts | 78c | 1,550$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b46…5fc8backed Cardinals | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…f4f4backed Colts | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Coltsthis page
- Cardinals vs. Colts: O/U 46.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Colts: O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Colts (-6.5)Cardinals won
- Spread: Colts (-7.5)Cardinals won
- Spread: Colts (-8.5)Cardinals won
- Spread: Colts (-9.5)Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.