Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x121191378e99c910e533a62515041547c4d18ccf6d50178470caadf4bb38c6d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 10,100$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 9,863$6,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.67 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 44c | 9,550$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,389.87 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…8603backed Yes | 8c | 9,436$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 32c | 8,819$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,979.73 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 5,863$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.99 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 17c | 5,716$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.47 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 78c | 3,848$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Yes | 68c | 3,690$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,374$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 6c | 3,119$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,729$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.22 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 75c | 2,639$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Yes | 7c | 2,605$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058d…bbabbacked Yes | 10c | 2,600$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 5c | 2,203$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,999$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…099fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,935$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 1,831$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.37 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,279$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.44 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ef00backed Yes | 75c | 1,194$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 11c | 1,063$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…d4f8backed Yes | 7c | 1,055$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…495dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…e657backed Yes | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 7c | 999.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…f1e1backed Yes | 24c | 881.83$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 9c | 879.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 10c | 860.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 7c | 814.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 810.09$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.1 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…75c4backed Yes | 13c | 789.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 67c | 767$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.35 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x318c…1a2abacked Yes | 8c | 762$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…95b2backed Yes | 8c | 720$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Yes | 6c | 650$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 5c | 648.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 60c | 600.09$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.73 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…dd70backed Yes | 38c | 600$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 49c | 579.7$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.97 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 73c | 572.11$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Yes | 14c | 570.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 17c | 565.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…2c4ebacked Yes | 10c | 506.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 67c | 500.11$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 78c | 499.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 76c | 460$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 5c | 455.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…1757backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed No | 31c | 364.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b31…15c7backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19cc…3ea3backed Yes | 9c | 330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes | 66c | 319.68$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2b…8434backed Yes | 9c | 317.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 66c | 303.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 72c | 299$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 33c | 283.09$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.33 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a51…f6d4backed Yes | 7c | 282.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 78c | 282$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b7bebacked No | 35c | 280.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 72c | 274.64$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afe…7d52backed Yes | 70c | 269.12$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes | 76c | 245$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 50c | 235$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.35 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 15c | 222.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 19c | 209.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 195.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…c04ebacked Yes | 9c | 193.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Yes | 7c | 188.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…c2dabacked Yes | 16c | 186.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d7…5487backed Yes | 7c | 182.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 61c | 175.47$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde0…20aabacked Yes | 7c | 175$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…1c38backed No | 80c | 173.41$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 6c | 167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked No | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 18c | 158.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…cd0cbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 12c | 142.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 77c | 136.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…aeecbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…073fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Yes | 69c | 120$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Yes | 21c | 117.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2677…533cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…6dbabacked No | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…618cbacked Yes | 74c | 97.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…e630backed Yes | 24c | 84.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…857fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1083…3b83backed Yes | 31c | 75.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Union Berlin vs. Bayern München end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.