College Football · resolved market
LSU vs. Alabama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17881dff1bf0161ddf3f69411ca6c02d6452a5483261a51ad012c7417c9a7ae7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabamaof LSU, Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Alabama | 79c | 31,646$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,645.57 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed LSU | 21c | 24,989$5,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,247.73 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Alabama | 78c | 21,872$17,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.23 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed LSU | 21c | 21,354$4,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed LSU | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked LSU | 22c | 18,073$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.75 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Alabama | 78c | 15,285$11,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.44 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed LSU | 22c | 14,803$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.24 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Alabama | 79c | 11,559$9,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.5 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Alabama | 79c | 10,000$7,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.01 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Alabama | 79c | 9,608$7,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.43 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked LSU | 26c | 8,655$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.93 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed LSU | 14c | 6,287$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.1 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked LSU | 23c | 5,578$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.74 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Alabama | 75c | 5,432$4,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Alabama | 80c | 5,140$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.45 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed LSU | 23c | 4,372$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked LSU | 21c | 4,360$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.6 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed LSU | 21c | 4,123$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.36 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed LSU | 24c | 3,388$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.27 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…c0a9backed LSU | 18c | 3,308$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed LSU | 23c | 3,000$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.21 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Alabama | 79c | 2,744$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.93 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Alabama | 77c | 2,647$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.81 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Alabama | 75c | 2,571$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.67 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama | 77c | 2,557$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.45 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked LSU | 22c | 2,400$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed LSU | 20c | 2,400$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed LSU | 22c | 2,075$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.32 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed LSU | 21c | 1,900$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Alabama | 72c | 1,811$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.87 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed LSU | 2c | 1,750$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Alabama | 79c | 1,666$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.94 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed LSU | 20c | 1,514$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.84 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Alabama | 77c | 1,416$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.7 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…dfafbacked LSU | 33c | 1,210$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed LSU | 22c | 1,158$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Alabama | 76c | 1,145$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.61 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Alabama | 78c | 1,096$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.12 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed LSU | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed LSU | 8c | 1,067$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked LSU | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…d0ebbacked LSU | 17c | 880.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Alabama | 77c | 862$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.26 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…06d8backed LSU | 14c | 826.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Alabama | 77c | 786.42$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Alabama | 76c | 760$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…783cbacked LSU | 2c | 751.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…4fe9backed Alabama | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…8a31backed LSU | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Alabama | 78c | 579.99$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed LSU | 7c | 525.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…970abacked LSU | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…b170backed LSU | 8c | 444$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Alabama | 79c | 442.09$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked LSU | 23c | 428.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…0632backed LSU | 11c | 425.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Alabama | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked LSU | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…a96cbacked LSU | 14c | 382.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Alabama | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Alabama | 78c | 345.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed LSU | 21c | 313$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked LSU | 22c | 295.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…caf1backed Alabama | 67c | 285.11$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed LSU | 21c | 275.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Alabama | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Alabama | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alabama | 65c | 225$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alabama | 75c | 225$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked LSU | 23c | 224.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…0f60backed Alabama | 74c | 224.57$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Alabama | 79c | 218.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed LSU | 22c | 212$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc7…7fd6backed Alabama | 76c | 210$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…5419backed Alabama | 78c | 201.27$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Alabama | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed LSU | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Alabama | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed LSU | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…9eccbacked LSU | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked LSU | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…4ee7backed LSU | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked LSU | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed LSU | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…d41fbacked LSU | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Alabama | 78c | 191.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Alabama | 75c | 172.48$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed LSU | 22c | 170$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…5905backed Alabama | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed LSU | 11c | 156.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…514abacked LSU | 27c | 146.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed LSU | 10c | 143$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked LSU | 15c | 135.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked LSU | 15c | 131$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed LSU | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Alabama | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed Alabama | 79c | 127.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Alabama | 79c | 127.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Alabama | 79c | 126.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LSU vs. Alabamathis page
- O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Alabama (-10.5)Alabama won
- Spread: Alabama (-9.5)Alabama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.