Movies · resolved market
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7054a1f29cbe11e526e47da0ebe9d84c4be6c8231279dde76229f8425a94a995
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,149,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,322,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,149,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 59c | 76,420$45,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,012.36 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…fb31backed Yes | 39c | 53,330$20,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,477.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Yes | 58c | 50,121$29,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,097.07 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 55c | 36,828$20,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,407.82 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 57c | 35,000$20,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,982.37 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed Yes | 47c | 33,000$15,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,438.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…aef9backed No | 0c | 30,150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d44…6fbabacked No | 61c | 27,495$16,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,744.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x592e…6b06backed No | 61c | 26,007$15,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,838.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…4a19backed Yes | 56c | 25,847$14,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,283.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 53c | 25,754$13,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,560.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed No | 44c | 24,264$10,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,779 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 38c | 23,831$8,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,958 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 54c | 23,042$12,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,671.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 61c | 22,301$13,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,695.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 57c | 22,179$12,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,475.18 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 51c | 21,810$11,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,637.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked No | 39c | 20,260$7,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,847.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…2bedbacked Yes | 60c | 19,539$11,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,862.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…06fcbacked Yes | 53c | 19,138$10,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,081.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 40c | 17,875$7,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,105.45 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed No | 41c | 17,746$7,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,290.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 61c | 17,428$10,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,802.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…d86cbacked No | 0c | 16,950$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…de3ebacked Yes | 59c | 16,950$9,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,990 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…d589backed No | 0c | 16,760$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 64c | 16,228$10,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,384.28 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Yes | 50c | 15,422$7,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,721.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 39c | 15,018$5,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,883.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…6895backed Yes | 66c | 14,944$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,143.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 22c | 14,033$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.95 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 33c | 13,589$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 13,466$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,278.94 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 55c | 12,938$7,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,774.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 38c | 12,716$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.16 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed Yes | 50c | 12,252$6,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,138.35 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 25c | 12,095$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,031.67 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…c67cbacked Yes | 44c | 11,073$4,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,171.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -61%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…a3f1backed No | 38c | 11,056$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e8…c80cbacked No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 43c | 10,985$4,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,220.26 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Yes | 75c | 10,069$7,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…ab69backed Yes | 55c | 10,007$5,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…0195backed No | 65c | 9,974$6,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,452.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 56c | 9,666$5,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.33 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 54c | 9,648$5,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.54 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…b9fbbacked No | 54c | 9,316$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 48c | 9,092$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.68 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 5c | 9,089$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,595.77 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 35c | 8,922$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,786.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 41c | 8,511$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.4 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…3686backed Yes | 59c | 8,504$4,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 45c | 8,500$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.96 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 8,487$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,212.1 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d2…efb2backed Yes | 61c | 8,453$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Yes | 57c | 8,293$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…8b3fbacked Yes | 59c | 8,236$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Yes | 64c | 8,096$5,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…a8cdbacked Yes | 62c | 8,042$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Yes | 60c | 7,965$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…3ab1backed Yes | 55c | 7,862$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 44c | 7,833$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…c144backed Yes | 1c | 7,120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,034.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +8,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…90ecbacked Yes | 1c | 7,120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,034.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +8,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…c279backed Yes | 50c | 7,000$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 49c | 6,712$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 39c | 6,361$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a8…814abacked Yes | 60c | 6,303$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Yes | 56c | 6,083$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Yes | 60c | 6,000$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 42c | 5,983$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.57 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 51c | 5,932$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 44c | 5,808$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.25 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,507$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,346.47 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213d…885dbacked No | 50c | 5,184$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335a…a156backed Yes | 1c | 5,075$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,034.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +12,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…ba82backed Yes | 1c | 5,075$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,034.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +12,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…c8bdbacked Yes | 59c | 5,051$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 66c | 5,038$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661b…17babacked Yes | 60c | 5,023$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 60c | 5,000$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.87 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 4,928$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.19 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 55c | 4,840$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.33 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 60c | 4,815$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.81 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…35c8backed Yes | 53c | 4,748$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…69b7backed Yes | 52c | 4,500$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 1c | 4,487$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…268fbacked Yes | 54c | 4,404$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.37 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 57c | 4,386$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.05 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 4,324$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040.2 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 59c | 4,314$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd659…fe07backed Yes | 57c | 4,290$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed No | 63c | 3,990$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 39c | 3,936$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d73…beddbacked Yes | 47c | 3,912$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…8125backed Yes | 53c | 3,813$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 38c | 3,810$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.53 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…231dbacked No | 50c | 3,799$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed Yes | 32c | 3,798$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Brendan Fraser win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Channing Tatum win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Colin Farrell win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Daniel Day-Lewis win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will George Clooney win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Hugh Jackman win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jeremy Allen White win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jesse Plemons win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Paul Mescal win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.