Movies · resolved market

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a441ec0b47718954c379432ecd9fc384f9ed77d4aa83da3bb5734201c741979

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,185,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,185,082 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 621 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	3c	102,235$3,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,233.02	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+208.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	4c	97,153$4,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,365.73	98	3.1%3 W · 95 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-89%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	4c	32,810$1,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,355.27	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-76%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes	4c	30,711$1,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.3	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	4c	28,722$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.61	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes	5c	25,925$1,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174.07	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes	4c	24,942$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.04	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6112…b6f5backed Yes	7c	21,749$1,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,432.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	6c	20,637$1,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,231.76	69	17.4%12 W · 57 L	-7.5wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x103d…b4a9backed Yes	6c	16,457$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	4c	12,284$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.58	145	5.5%8 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf58…1deabacked Yes	5c	11,412$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.89	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d79…268fbacked Yes	6c	10,167$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.8	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…6050backed Yes	6c	10,035$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes	4c	10,000$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+7.0wins	+0.10per pick	25cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb52e…acbfbacked Yes	5c	9,676$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5a…d5dabacked Yes	5c	9,604$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9a…f393backed Yes	6c	9,069$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	2c	8,910$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.74	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	8,389$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.12	278	1.8%5 W · 273 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	8,346$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…474bbacked Yes	4c	8,130$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes	6c	7,934$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.63	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+9.3wins	+0.18per pick	33cpaid	+155.4%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2354…e5bdbacked Yes	6c	7,867$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23b9…0b21backed Yes	6c	7,866$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.71	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes	5c	7,849$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.44	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes	5c	7,766$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.65	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	7,705$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.03	204	2.9%6 W · 198 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x838f…bb46backed Yes	7c	7,680$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	5c	7,220$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.92	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	6,953$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.83	201	3.5%7 W · 194 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ec…ab04backed Yes	4c	5,947$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.26	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	4c	5,835$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.77	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes	7c	5,793$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.73	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b2…6174backed Yes	6c	5,472$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.81	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	6c	5,375$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes	4c	5,084$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.52	84	22.6%19 W · 65 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes	5c	5,000$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.22	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718e…3ef9backed Yes	5c	5,000$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7063…eb48backed Yes	6c	4,999$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-72.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…7e7cbacked Yes	4c	4,994$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x314c…6cbebacked Yes	5c	4,835$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.75	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	5c	4,781$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.06	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	4,615$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.87	154	9.7%15 W · 139 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb3…0434backed Yes	7c	4,518$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	4c	4,421$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.2	123	1.6%2 W · 121 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x270e…2930backed Yes	10c	4,298$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.11	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6095…b9fbbacked Yes	7c	4,227$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	5c	4,216$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.34	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed Yes	5c	4,084$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes	4c	4,000$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.74	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.15per pick	26cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf124…d6fabacked Yes	5c	4,000$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x162f…798dbacked Yes	4c	4,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	42cpaid	-83.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf73c…e7cfbacked Yes	5c	3,794$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	5c	3,658$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.5	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	+65.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b5…e2d1backed Yes	7c	3,655$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Yes	5c	3,600$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.8	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	5c	3,562$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.61	38	7.9%3 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes	4c	3,381$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.3	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e87…9d0bbacked Yes	5c	3,199$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb34…5850backed Yes	7c	3,182$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	5c	3,174$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.89	116	4.3%5 W · 111 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	6c	3,171$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.66	90	1.1%1 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	6cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	4c	3,145$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.25	39	0%0 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd42…d1c3backed Yes	4c	3,125$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ed…5561backed Yes	4c	3,047$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	4c	3,029$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.72	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+106.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes	7c	3,006$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.22	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d0…af08backed Yes	7c	3,000$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Yes	4c	2,947$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3194…22b7backed Yes	7c	2,855$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9285…4d48backed Yes	6c	2,813$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.85	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ae…bd84backed Yes	7c	2,799$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes	6c	2,741$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.22	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	7c	2,724$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.61	140	15%21 W · 119 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes	6c	2,679$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.28	237	41.4%98 W · 139 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9d7…5946backed Yes	5c	2,629$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x855c…d9efbacked Yes	6c	2,620$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37f8…bf04backed Yes	4c	2,605$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…cfcebacked Yes	4c	2,596$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes	5c	2,500$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	178	21.3%38 W · 140 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6d…771ebacked Yes	5c	2,431$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes	3c	2,373$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.9	331	23.9%79 W · 252 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…29d4backed Yes	8c	2,355$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Yes	5c	2,343$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	5c	2,303$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.36	74	6.8%5 W · 69 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe4…4975backed Yes	5c	2,271$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceae…1cedbacked Yes	5c	2,259$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.18	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18bc…10a1backed Yes	5c	2,202$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x669c…45b9backed Yes	4c	2,177$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…e2c4backed Yes	5c	2,134$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd76f…6055backed Yes	5c	2,101$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2af…3c6abacked Yes	3c	2,075$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	3c	2,064$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.92	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff5…4166backed Yes	5c	2,061$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433d…a85abacked Yes	5c	2,053$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x053b…8aa7backed Yes	5c	2,038$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad6…781fbacked Yes	5c	2,004$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ace…6069backed Yes	8c	2,002$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.61	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d23…4c0cbacked Yes	5c	2,002$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
Will Brendan Fraser win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Channing Tatum win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Colin Farrell win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Daniel Day-Lewis win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will George Clooney win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Hugh Jackman win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Jeremy Allen White win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Jesse Plemons win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Paul Mescal win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event