CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf612a09e4b6d43095ee9fe1598792c1b12ffeb63a6991e2616843de0cf8247ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BASEMENT BOYS, 777
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed BASEMENT BOYS | 75c | 7,995$5,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.8 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed 777 | 18c | 3,466$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed 777 | 25c | 1,751$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.24 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed 777 | 22c | 1,614$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked 777 | 25c | 1,222$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.36 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 777 | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…b384backed 777 | 24c | 1,037$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…2fccbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 76c | 787$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed 777 | 25c | 603.81$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked 777 | 24c | 550$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed BASEMENT BOYS | 74c | 506.49$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.17 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked 777 | 22c | 422.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 777 | 13c | 404.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed 777 | 25c | 388$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked 777 | 25c | 387.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed 777 | 25c | 385.72$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…e843backed BASEMENT BOYS | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed BASEMENT BOYS | 77c | 247.83$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed 777 | 23c | 247.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 76c | 239.64$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed 777 | 6c | 219.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…21ffbacked 777 | 10c | 200.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked 777 | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…e574backed 777 | 8c | 199.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed 777 | 10c | 145.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed 777 | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…6678backed BASEMENT BOYS | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…50efbacked 777 | 16c | 119.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed 777 | 24c | 119.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed 777 | 24c | 108.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 777 | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…520cbacked 777 | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed 777 | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…2209backed 777 | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed 777 | 24c | 79.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed 777 | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 76c | 54.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d5…aa48backed 777 | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…fa69backed BASEMENT BOYS | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…80b6backed BASEMENT BOYS | 80c | 24.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 - Map 1 WinnerBASEMENT BOYS won
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 - Map 2 WinnerBASEMENT BOYS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.