CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38c3b4e11e99323ff848eeb5f260a82eeb9009f698dd979b1d554c1a755fbc76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Natus Vincere, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,004,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,025,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,004,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spirit | 72c | 499,666$359,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,414.53 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 243,205$47,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,809.47 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 183,920$69,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,889.76 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 52,300$20,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,134 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked Spirit | 48c | 42,809$20,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,071.17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 21,154$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.3 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Spirit | 74c | 21,092$15,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,397.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Spirit | 62c | 20,788$12,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,957.12 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 18,722$5,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,742.34 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Spirit | 63c | 16,206$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,006.38 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Spirit | 64c | 14,358$9,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.84 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 14,225$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,559.76 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 13,000$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017.33 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 12,818$5,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,897.8 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 65c | 11,760$7,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,077.41 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Spirit | 64c | 11,716$7,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.91 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 9,920$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Spirit | 75c | 9,199$6,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.12 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 70c | 8,448$5,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.07 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 8,205$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.68 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 7,992$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.94 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Spirit | 66c | 7,709$5,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.97 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 7,100$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.21 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…4349backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 6,835$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 61c | 6,530$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.56 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fa…3248backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 6,379$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Spirit | 64c | 6,250$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 5,523$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 56c | 5,456$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.37 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 5,205$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.79 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Spirit | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 4,767$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.84 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 4,763$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.47 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 69c | 4,618$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.93 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 4,600$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 4,506$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.4 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Spirit | 59c | 4,355$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.82 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Spirit | 59c | 3,821$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.59 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 3,689$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.86 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Spirit | 63c | 3,503$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.11 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…7f2abacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 3,366$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.97 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 3,349$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.9 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 65c | 3,079$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.06 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 3,004$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.42 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Spirit | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,527$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.35 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Spirit | 62c | 2,520$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.95 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.7 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit | 64c | 2,487$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.73 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,432$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,380$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…b983backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,338$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed Spirit | 63c | 2,209$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…6001backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 2,200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…72d7backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 2,133$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,047$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.85 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,043$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.99 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5f…2753backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Spirit | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Spirit | 60c | 1,901$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.52 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…f078backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,855$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…9467backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,842$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Spirit | 73c | 1,811$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.73 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Spirit | 57c | 1,800$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…f6e0backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,678$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.63 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…d360backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 1,650$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Spirit | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 54c | 1,613$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.77 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Spirit | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,578$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.69 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Spirit | 65c | 1,572$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.19 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,525$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.47 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,505$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.37 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Spirit | 59c | 1,500$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.58 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spirit | 65c | 1,475$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.91 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,435$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.35 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,419$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.32 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Spirit | 62c | 1,377$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.26 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Spirit | 67c | 1,356$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.73 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b42…8428backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,334$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Spirit | 62c | 1,322$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.43 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Spirit | 61c | 1,300$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,300$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.97 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,250$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.5 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Spirit | 63c | 1,230$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.16 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,220$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.48 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,145$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.18 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…d41cbacked Spirit | 63c | 1,130$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…8f01backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Spirit | 55c | 1,020$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.2 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…a7f6backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 1,006$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Spirit | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…d43dbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Spirit | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.