CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe94b3d2993f5f4374bf01289e78386f79a35f9af163470efd464f8b33b8977b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Natus Vincere, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 17,593$9,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,336.1 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 53c | 15,130$8,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,054.27 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cf…88c4backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 10,701$4,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,601.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…9dc8backed Spirit | 57c | 10,160$5,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 53c | 8,870$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.69 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 44c | 8,392$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,668.47 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 8,046$5,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,172.6 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Spirit | 54c | 6,271$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.15 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Spirit | 25c | 5,858$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,394.42 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 48c | 5,361$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.08 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…ea16backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 4,215$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,931$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.98 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,930$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 47c | 2,761$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.01 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Spirit | 41c | 2,705$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.91 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Spirit | 59c | 2,568$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.43 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,009$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.62 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee32…c685backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,987$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.75 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.15 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 45c | 1,689$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.21 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…8ae3backed Spirit | 51c | 1,525$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,492$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.27 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…1402backed Spirit | 45c | 1,404$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…d360backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,356$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…5ddabacked Spirit | 74c | 1,343$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2587backed Spirit | 40c | 1,226$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit | 36c | 1,193$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.86 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Spirit | 41c | 1,128$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.76 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…3e47backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,074$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.04 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…b6ecbacked Spirit | 70c | 1,050$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,014$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…8f01backed Spirit | 40c | 1,003$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…b467backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.82 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…9467backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Spirit | 20c | 899.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.99 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Spirit | 29c | 851.37$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.47 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 844.42$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.03 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 840$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 835.84$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.95 | 113 | 61.1%69 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 830.38$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Spirit | 59c | 818.21$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.21 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Spirit | 53c | 753.18$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.52 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed Spirit | 47c | 750.11$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.55 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…2254backed Spirit | 51c | 717.07$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 674.5$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Spirit | 35c | 630.43$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.78 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Spirit | 23c | 620.64$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.67 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…cb88backed Spirit | 57c | 541$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 540.34$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.91 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 503.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Spirit | 56c | 498.51$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.51 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Spirit | 50c | 426.65$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Spirit | 50c | 370$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 360.7$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.61 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…edebbacked Spirit | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 352.92$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.66 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Spirit | 58c | 346.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.03 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Spirit | 53c | 339.26$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.45 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Spirit | 52c | 321.53$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.51 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 321.27$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.85 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 315.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit | 39c | 314.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 58c | 313.46$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Spirit | 48c | 307.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Spirit | 42c | 307$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 305.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 303.64$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.15 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 300.64$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…4a6dbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Spirit | 57c | 297.56$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.63 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Spirit | 35c | 287.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…5104backed Spirit | 38c | 286$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Spirit | 58c | 256.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 252.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Spirit | 44c | 235.93$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…0f49backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 219.24$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 218.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.91 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…e4a8backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 217.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 213.96$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…045fbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 210.42$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 206.78$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 201.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked Spirit | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…9ec4backed Spirit | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…ef47backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 196.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…1166backed Spirit | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…45a9backed Spirit | 33c | 183.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0290…e1bcbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 176.24$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 172.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…9c9fbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Spirit | 49c | 168.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 163.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Spirit | 55c | 162.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.