TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1e0…9c9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Token Launches at 50 out of 100; worst CS2 at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.94
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.09
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24.87
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.84
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$19.38
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.17
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17.7
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+47%+$481.23
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.81
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+376.2%+$55.34
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+25%+$2.53
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$130.01
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$209.75
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+40.9%+$5.34
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+426.3%+$463.87
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+61.3%+$72.65
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$181.63
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+35.1%+$30.85
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+44.9%+$7.49
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$23
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Heroic vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.07
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25%+$2.72
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30.82
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.57
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO5) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+114.2%+$40.38
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.98
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.27
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.72
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.86
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.59
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20.92
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32.59
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.51
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.31
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.66
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.53
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.2
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$12.99
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-51.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.88
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.87
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.67
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$143.42
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$18.41
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$45.51
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.48
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.63
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25.67
BLAST Open: G2 vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will The MongolZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.