CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c7d696ecd853f836c80fd6cd97d5fa5abdb61759ac4e71dca9f7aac932e5682
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof MOUZ, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed MOUZ | 62c | 18,855$11,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,765.95 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 10,952$6,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,644.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 8,100$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ce…4994backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 7,928$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 7,506$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,823.49 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed MOUZ | 64c | 7,111$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.82 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 33c | 6,400$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.17 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ | 21c | 5,774$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.01 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed MOUZ | 36c | 4,150$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.65 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked MOUZ | 31c | 2,830$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.8 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,563$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.01 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed MOUZ | 64c | 2,195$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked MOUZ | 49c | 1,893$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.76 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…edebbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,712$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,690$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 1,656$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.53 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,632$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.92 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,598$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.17 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked MOUZ | 66c | 1,521$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,324$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.63 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,313$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.89 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…253cbacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,016$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.24 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 938.47$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 931.43$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.43 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ | 17c | 919.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked MOUZ | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 22c | 880.17$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed MOUZ | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed MOUZ | 45c | 774.99$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.75 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…50efbacked MOUZ | 2c | 750.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 733.35$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.58 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 733.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.05 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 675.94$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.11 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 667.35$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.8 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 655.32$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.32 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 603.03$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.03 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 12c | 571.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 68c | 565.06$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.89 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 542.16$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.95 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 514.39$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.21 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.35 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 500$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked MOUZ | 19c | 497.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 63c | 492.59$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.31 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed MOUZ | 64c | 467.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed MOUZ | 61c | 460.95$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ | 34c | 438$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed MOUZ | 14c | 424.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 424.61$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 365.06$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.89 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed MOUZ | 57c | 351.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de4…cd16backed MOUZ | 9c | 342.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed MOUZ | 67c | 329.57$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.18 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 300$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…5104backed MOUZ | 17c | 299.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 268.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked MOUZ | 31c | 265.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…532cbacked MOUZ | 64c | 246$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.45 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 224.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ | 43c | 216.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked MOUZ | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed MOUZ | 40c | 212.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…a4c8backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 206.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 63c | 206.7$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MOUZ | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed MOUZ | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked MOUZ | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…b9c0backed MOUZ | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed MOUZ | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 193.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.94 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed MOUZ | 27c | 192.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 180.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed MOUZ | 62c | 168.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 160.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ | 67c | 158.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 147.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…8e3abacked MOUZ | 63c | 140$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…85bcbacked MOUZ | 43c | 139.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 135.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed MOUZ | 57c | 135.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed MOUZ | 13c | 129.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 23c | 126.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 123.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 121.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…ec1bbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 117.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked MOUZ | 37c | 117$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…f8d8backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 107$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked MOUZ | 16c | 100.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed MOUZ | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed MOUZ | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…de82backed MOUZ | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed MOUZ | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.