CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeef3861a1c0912bc379c56a431851e2ce13e4cd3dd616570a9c9068924903f3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof MOUZ, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $601,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $678,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 113,654$61,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,284.82 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…8451backed MOUZ | 43c | 70,079$29,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,964.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked MOUZ | 67c | 63,424$42,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,494.12 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed MOUZ | 43c | 51,479$21,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,941.48 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 30,118$16,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,204.65 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 29,180$12,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,547.43 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed MOUZ | 68c | 28,223$19,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,108.59 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 22,500$7,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,075 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed MOUZ | 58c | 12,087$6,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,957.09 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed MOUZ | 65c | 11,726$7,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,586.02 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked MOUZ | 47c | 10,567$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 10,184$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.13 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 9,430$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,317.88 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 7,576$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.76 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 7,460$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.7 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed MOUZ | 1c | 7,040$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 7,000$3,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.14 | 327 | 52.3%171 W · 156 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 28c | 6,914$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.5 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 6,831$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.34 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 6,798$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 6,437$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.98 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…edc9backed MOUZ | 30c | 5,720$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.98 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 4,946$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.15 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 4,553$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.78 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 4,444$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.92 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.96 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 3,787$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed MOUZ | 41c | 3,668$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.87 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.3 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 19c | 3,009$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.14 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 64c | 3,000$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.33 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 2,824$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.33 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed MOUZ | 18c | 2,800$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ | 64c | 2,700$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 2,679$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.08 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 2,659$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.16 | 388 | 39.4%153 W · 235 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 26c | 2,608$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.41 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…8ebcbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 2,548$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,471$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.51 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,384$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.22 | 356 | 43%153 W · 203 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 44c | 2,293$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 2,273$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.73 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 2,250$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,158$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.7 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 2,134$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.11 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed MOUZ | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 2,034$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.42 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed MOUZ | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.94 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,930$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.15 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…5377backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 1,921$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.4 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 1,890$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.29 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…6601backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,869$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,865$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,820$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.93 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 1,820$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.46 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,742$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.97 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 1,700$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 1,479$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.79 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,445$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.74 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…1402backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,441$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…b2b5backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,427$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.68 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,366$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.72 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb74…6199backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,340$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…9943backed MOUZ | 65c | 1,330$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,313$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.63 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,186$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.86 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c8…d2d0backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,177$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be3…5b35backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,116$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…12babacked MOUZ | 66c | 1,112$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…72d7backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,067$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c53…b87cbacked MOUZ | 68c | 1,060$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,031$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.91 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3479…ea1abacked MOUZ | 68c | 1,020$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,015$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.06 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 1,003$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.95 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,001$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.55 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…8738backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe084…04c0backed MOUZ | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked MOUZ | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…94b5backed MOUZ | 69c | 977.63$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked MOUZ | 68c | 945.56$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 937.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.