NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ebcf5d1702fdcc65aedef6acc5e28a71cfb3dae05b9069ad3221eb03c59c5f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $522,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $600,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Celtics | 61c | 79,759$49,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,045.74 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Celtics | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Pacers | 61c | 34,511$20,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,519.88 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Pacers | 53c | 20,059$10,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,427.73 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 18c | 13,864$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,307.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…5624backed Pacers | 62c | 12,810$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Pacers | 44c | 11,280$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,312.23 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…53a6backed Celtics | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Pacers | 49c | 9,670$4,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.08 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pacers | 22c | 7,521$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,855.82 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…135cbacked Celtics | 71c | 7,086$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 42c | 7,004$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Pacers | 39c | 6,200$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758.98 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Celtics | 41c | 6,111$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.86 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers | 16c | 5,277$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.68 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Pacers | 29c | 5,096$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Celtics | 1c | 4,545$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Celtics | 45c | 4,486$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 53c | 4,273$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.84 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3053…1662backed Pacers | 17c | 3,544$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…be5cbacked Pacers | 18c | 3,469$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1f1ebacked Celtics | 63c | 3,153$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Celtics | 74c | 2,926$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.99 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Celtics | 14c | 2,638$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pacers | 15c | 2,527$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.57 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Celtics | 23c | 2,523$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Celtics | 1c | 2,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…d302backed Celtics | 55c | 2,469$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers | 17c | 2,176$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.47 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Celtics | 53c | 2,021$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.66 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Pacers | 38c | 2,014$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.86 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…b469backed Celtics | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Celtics | 80c | 1,859$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.08 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 40c | 1,748$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.66 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Celtics | 77c | 1,500$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Celtics | 60c | 1,468$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Celtics | 65c | 1,333$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.78 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Celtics | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.93 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 29c | 1,226$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.25 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Pacers | 50c | 1,193$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.62 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6f…5774backed Pacers | 16c | 1,131$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…ea54backed Pacers | 18c | 1,120$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Celtics | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pacers | 39c | 1,005$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.19 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Celtics | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics | 71c | 1,000$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Celtics | 71c | 1,000$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Celtics | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Pacers | 52c | 950.28$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.81 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Pacers | 16c | 941.86$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.16 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…264abacked Pacers | 18c | 914.06$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Celtics | 45c | 900$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Celtics | 42c | 714.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.72 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Celtics | 9c | 700$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1541…c579backed Celtics | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…535fbacked Celtics | 62c | 686.71$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Pacers | 60c | 670.26$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.03 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Celtics | 23c | 647.37$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Celtics | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Pacers | 26c | 619.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.35 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Pacers | 31c | 595.23$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.71 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Celtics | 57c | 550$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.95 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Celtics | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Pacers | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Celtics | 71c | 525.11$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pacers | 19c | 521.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.76 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…cad0backed Celtics | 75c | 510.35$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…9c9fbacked Celtics | 36c | 504.53$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Celtics | 59c | 500$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Pacers | 47c | 468.88$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.64 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Pacers | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…47cfbacked Celtics | 54c | 460.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Celtics | 54c | 457.07$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Celtics | 45c | 448.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Pacers | 47c | 428.62$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.17 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Pacers | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Celtics | 70c | 398$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Pacers | 57c | 395.03$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…be22backed Pacers | 39c | 363.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116b…3d32backed Celtics | 76c | 362.88$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Pacers | 19c | 357.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.89 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers | 17c | 339.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.17 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Celtics | 56c | 337.7$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.11 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers | 51c | 320.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Pacers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Pacers | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Pacers | 15c | 299.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.97 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Celtics | 72c | 292.48$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.33 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…4a10backed Celtics | 47c | 291.91$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Pacers | 68c | 285.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Celtics | 34c | 282.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Celtics | 38c | 275$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Celtics | 51c | 261.79$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Pacers | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Pacers | 21c | 250.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.87 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Celtics | 51c | 248.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pacers | 19c | 245$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.35 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…81ecbacked Pacers | 53c | 225$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…b1adbacked Celtics | 47c | 225$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ca…a4b4backed Celtics | 28c | 225$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.