Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce125ed878b26e62bc1ebe6ef76645f380b737af86c93dbd9410a5fbf532d14c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof Power Rangers, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Power Rangers | 43c | 3,000$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.35 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 57c | 1,224$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.84 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1win | 57c | 1,089$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.77 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed 1win | 67c | 903.84$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.34 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 57c | 682.47$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.3 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Power Rangers | 44c | 518$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.92 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Power Rangers | 32c | 516.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Power Rangers | 33c | 468.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.63 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Power Rangers | 46c | 337.19$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.13 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Power Rangers | 9c | 327.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Power Rangers | 7c | 323.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 1win | 59c | 322.37$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked 1win | 74c | 305.46$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Power Rangers | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Power Rangers | 33c | 222$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed 1win | 56c | 199.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 17c | 195.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Power Rangers | 42c | 180.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Power Rangers | 24c | 126.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Power Rangers | 42c | 119.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Power Rangers | 47c | 65.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed 1win | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed 1win | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed 1win | 54c | 49.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Power Rangers | 41c | 48.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked 1win | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Power Rangers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…9c9fbacked Power Rangers | 48c | 38.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Power Rangers | 35c | 36.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…51c2backed 1win | 76c | 34.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked 1win | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Power Rangers | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…4266backed 1win | 57c | 17.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.