Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cc08b3e882150d93b6cd7510c6e5228b03866ded601444038173800104cb955
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed 1win | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed 1win | 53c | 3,744$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.73 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Power Rangers | 46c | 3,124$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.12 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 46c | 1,817$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.74 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Power Rangers | 47c | 1,728$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.33 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed 1win | 6c | 1,213$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1win | 20c | 1,056$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.75 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…27e2backed 1win | 9c | 1,051$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed 1win | 11c | 709.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked 1win | 5c | 562.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked 1win | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Power Rangers | 61c | 411.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…1162backed 1win | 46c | 409.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed 1win | 16c | 392.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked 1win | 39c | 284.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked 1win | 52c | 277$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Power Rangers | 44c | 227.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…9780backed 1win | 5c | 206.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed 1win | 10c | 170.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked 1win | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 921 | 56.5%520 W · 401 L | +78.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 1win | 26c | 150.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Power Rangers | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked 1win | 35c | 139.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa91d…7600backed 1win | 24c | 132.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Power Rangers | 39c | 130.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Power Rangers | 44c | 113.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers | 43c | 110.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…0cb5backed 1win | 39c | 106.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b55…de63backed 1win | 60c | 72.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Power Rangers | 54c | 66.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Power Rangers | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Power Rangers | 52c | 49.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Power Rangers | 47c | 37.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Power Rangers | 40c | 34.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed 1win | 60c | 18.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Power Rangers | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.