TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b2b…51c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$21.96
Map Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Ding Cuts (+1.5)backed Ding Cuts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)backed G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$19.84
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.16
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+171%+$50.48
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$21.27
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winnerbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa - Map 2 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa - Map 1 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Abacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.51
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+159.8%+$26.45
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$44.1
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.41
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$32.27
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$44.8
Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs ReThink (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked ZOTIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.26
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$57.32
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37.2%+$19.8
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs NPC's IRL (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked NPC's IRL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$65.9
Dota 2: Team Essence vs Ivory - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Essence · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.5%+$7.89
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.4%+$28.71
Dota 2: strongboys vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$86.54
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.22
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.96
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+36.5%+$19.53
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+32.1%+$6.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$14.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: GTZ Esports vs Francesinhas (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked GTZ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
LoL: BoostGate Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked BoostGate Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.41
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$95.51
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$6.01
LoL: Francesinhas vs Bubliki (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked Francesinhas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+1,125.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
T20 1st Innings 6 Overs Line: O/U 59.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+2,207.7%+$287
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23.65
Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hugo Dellien vs. Max Schoenhaus: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.