CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs ReThink (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07ce4e587ea99882c1acdfb088c1ade657b58e0194ff428913f76950702f29b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ReThinkof ZOTIX, ReThink
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ReThink | 47c | 2,306$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.66 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed ReThink | 49c | 1,360$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.47 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed ReThink | 56c | 1,110$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.18 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed ZOTIX | 58c | 953.89$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.26 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ZOTIX | 54c | 927.97$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.22 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed ZOTIX | 51c | 512.65$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.92 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked ZOTIX | 45c | 390.44$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ReThink | 53c | 352.77$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed ReThink | 46c | 320.09$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed ZOTIX | 58c | 293.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed ReThink | 46c | 291.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed ReThink | 45c | 244.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed ZOTIX | 54c | 185.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ZOTIX | 51c | 181.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…51c2backed ZOTIX | 46c | 174.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ReThink | 52c | 155$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed ReThink | 53c | 128.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed ReThink | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ZOTIX | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ReThink | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ZOTIX | 46c | 90.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed ZOTIX | 47c | 85.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ZOTIX | 58c | 71.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ZOTIX | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked ZOTIX | 45c | 53.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked ZOTIX | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed ReThink | 44c | 31.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed ReThink | 52c | 30.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…a39fbacked ZOTIX | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed ReThink | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed ReThink | 48c | 25.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked ReThink | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed ReThink | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.