CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b96e568e1e2cc80eec0ae1a0b682b78862dc1e040c6b75ab75fcc14ad46d50f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Prospectsof ASTRAL, CYBERSHOKE Prospects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824f…69bdbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 41c | 3,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.19 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ASTRAL | 57c | 1,429$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.32 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ASTRAL | 57c | 1,273$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.23 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 63c | 924.93$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.38 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 38c | 786.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.48 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…0c0abacked ASTRAL | 66c | 772.17$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 61c | 700$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.88 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 41c | 354.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.48 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 37c | 341.76$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.78 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ASTRAL | 58c | 314.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.63 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 38c | 291.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ASTRAL | 34c | 241.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ASTRAL | 58c | 223.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 38c | 220$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.7 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 53c | 200.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL | 57c | 173.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 54c | 172.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 36c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 35c | 103.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed ASTRAL | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ASTRAL | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed ASTRAL | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ASTRAL | 62c | 71.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 61c | 70.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed ASTRAL | 64c | 69.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 40c | 65.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ASTRAL | 40c | 61.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…51c2backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 30c | 56.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ASTRAL | 56c | 52.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 54c | 52.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ASTRAL | 56c | 47.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 52c | 43.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed ASTRAL | 61c | 38.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…8addbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 43c | 37.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed ASTRAL | 50c | 34.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 41c | 29.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ASTRAL | 50c | 25.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ASTRAL | 48c | 23.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed ASTRAL | 66c | 21.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ASTRAL | 62c | 17.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group BCYBERSHOKE Prospects won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5)CYBERSHOKE Prospects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.