CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaead831df71cb26c13259bc5b76cd6761e2dbb582c8124cd87efb927d46cb8c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Prospectsof ASTRAL, CYBERSHOKE Prospects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed ASTRAL | 44c | 1,566$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.67 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 55c | 995.81$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.11 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 55c | 554.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.74 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed ASTRAL | 45c | 324.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 57c | 244.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 56c | 127.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed ASTRAL | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 45c | 98.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 57c | 77.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 56c | 68.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 59c | 33.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed ASTRAL | 41c | 33.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 57c | 18.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 57c | 18.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group BCYBERSHOKE Prospects won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Prospects won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.