CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4ca3a20ab2900d4fd1406d7e2a51a2ce8409d5a9338427294edf0ae90511258
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, CYBERSHOKE Prospects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824f…69bdbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.98 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed ASTRAL | 48c | 1,427$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.27 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ASTRAL | 54c | 1,310$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.61 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 63c | 1,188$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.01 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 37c | 874.59$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.57 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 50c | 741.59$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.13 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed ASTRAL | 57c | 430$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.59 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 36c | 353.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ASTRAL | 53c | 325.63$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 30c | 319.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.39 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL | 63c | 292.72$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed ASTRAL | 62c | 193.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 37c | 162$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ASTRAL | 58c | 157.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ASTRAL | 56c | 152.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed ASTRAL | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 231 | 72.3%167 W · 64 L | +27.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 44c | 148.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 57c | 144.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 43c | 104.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed ASTRAL | 50c | 100.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ASTRAL | 58c | 91.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 38c | 90.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked ASTRAL | 55c | 87.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 262 | 45.4%119 W · 143 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed ASTRAL | 50c | 82.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 46c | 70.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ASTRAL | 65c | 62.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 18c | 54.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 46c | 45.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed ASTRAL | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked ASTRAL | 55c | 21.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed ASTRAL | 57c | 21.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed ASTRAL | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group BCYBERSHOKE Prospects won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Prospects won
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5)CYBERSHOKE Prospects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.