TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof 3DMAX, Alliance
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Alliance49c7,839$3,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,034.3163057.1%360 W · 270 L+40.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked 3DMAX41c2,135$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.0419540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba1…5e97backed 3DMAX59c1,530$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed 3DMAX1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX49c1,448$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.194,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked 3DMAX75c1,308$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.233537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX23c1,214$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1959839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX50c1,143$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.53,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Alliance42c1,099$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.1911061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Alliance43c1,039$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8723861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX47c1,030$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.356,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Alliance56c1,029$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.311,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Alliance51c1,017$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.871,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed 3DMAX1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101190.8%1 W · 118 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 3DMAX41c924.01$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.45,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69eb…bbc3backed Alliance30c900$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.882231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed 3DMAX41c754.41$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6141716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Alliance14c700$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.571,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Alliance22c691.73$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.825733.9%87 W · 170 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Alliance54c649.91$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.464,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Alliance56c634.46$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.0187047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Alliance40c620$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.55,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Alliance52c558.94$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.271,48458%861 W · 623 L+66.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed Alliance41c510$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.911243.8%49 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked 3DMAX29c507.78$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6953034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1362…f403backed Alliance42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+67.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 3DMAX37c477.1$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.33,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance42c453.3$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.124,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 3DMAX48c401.37$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.264,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed 3DMAX64c392.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked 3DMAX42c371.36$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.262,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ad0…bd83backed Alliance59c362.44$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe275…2450backed Alliance31c331.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.118235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed Alliance42c329.93$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.553237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbb…357bbacked Alliance49c304.11$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Alliance40c265.52$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3132840.2%132 W · 196 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed 3DMAX46c264.41$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.082,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 3DMAX38c258.6$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.62,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alliance40c250.75$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4880542.2%340 W · 465 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…0118backed Alliance60c239.8$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.85352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed 3DMAX50c219.96$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9827544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Alliance55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9018432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Alliance39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12249935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Alliance56c200$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877236.1%26 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed 3DMAX58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1167152.1%37 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Alliance56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8864439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Alliance44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11215453.9%83 W · 71 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked 3DMAX50c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4128143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Alliance15c199.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9938312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Alliance26c194$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5545646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Alliance54c176.6$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8647447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Alliance46c175$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.362,34346.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L-49.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked 3DMAX46c173.85$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3722949.8%114 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d72…b643backed 3DMAX58c172.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Alliance51c166.26$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.872,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked 3DMAX65c159.37$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4642149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alliance44c159.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.215,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Alliance56c149.91$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.965545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed 3DMAX44c149.91$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9632346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 3DMAX57c149.41$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.022,60352.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked 3DMAX43c149$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.881,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked Alliance50c132.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0410942.2%46 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Alliance33c119.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6227549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Alliance44c107.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1735466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed 3DMAX23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2356822.5%128 W · 440 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Alliance29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7110044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Alliance37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Alliance56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4421741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed 3DMAX61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.514545.5%66 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Alliance55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4537339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f3…becfbacked Alliance45c99.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb94a…d680backed Alliance77c98.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.111668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Alliance57c97.83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.841,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa300…24c7backed 3DMAX46c96.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.852070%14 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed 3DMAX60c93.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3545240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Alliance54c92.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.964742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked 3DMAX54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.327947.3%132 W · 147 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2b…51c2backed Alliance51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.13148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Alliance39c89.35$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.842,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Alliance58c87.57$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9564046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Alliance58c86.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7835249.7%175 W · 177 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 3DMAX63c84.37$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.871,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed 3DMAX43c83.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.41,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8c…e076backed 3DMAX55c80.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.53655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Alliance34c79.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5930348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf380…17bbbacked 3DMAX67c73.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.612441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed 3DMAX30c69.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8719142.4%81 W · 110 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x467e…4a19backed 3DMAX64c61.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.544452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd4…5aaebacked 3DMAX76c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Alliance54c59.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5993261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed Alliance42c58.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8518747.1%88 W · 99 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Alliance56c56.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.146259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+165.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Alliance54c55.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3459354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0315…760cbacked Alliance47c52.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.811717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-48.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf5…1224backed 3DMAX39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed 3DMAX43c51.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228346.6%132 W · 151 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Alliance56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2257935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e89…6c42backed Alliance40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Alliance40c49.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7176646.1%353 W · 413 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Alliance50c49.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8431845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.