TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof 3DMAX, Alliance
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$531,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$574,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Alliance45c100,951$45,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,231.214050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed 3DMAX55c59,289$32,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,609.13850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Alliance45c40,636$18,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,483.9272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked 3DMAX55c23,197$12,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,791.2536453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked 3DMAX26c22,175$5,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,800.863157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed 3DMAX54c22,000$11,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,879.9414051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked 3DMAX56c17,938$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00016443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Alliance46c17,045$7,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,204.5421048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Alliance45c12,551$5,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,902.823848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked 3DMAX56c12,000$6,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,719.9236152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed 3DMAX48c10,711$5,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,141.363658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance53c10,242$5,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,847.2266851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked 3DMAX40c9,642$3,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,855.8619540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed 3DMAX55c8,740$4,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8074235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked 3DMAX56c8,000$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,449.983237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Alliance45c7,945$3,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,408.9184958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed 3DMAX54c7,004$3,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75548350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX49c6,359$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,111.031,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX37c6,271$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.86,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed 3DMAX33c6,255$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.471428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked Alliance79c5,808$4,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.577054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed 3DMAX54c5,552$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99823732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 3DMAX47c5,374$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.0387047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf69d…74d2backed 3DMAX1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Alliance44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80033627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Alliance45c4,998$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.8864852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Alliance47c4,593$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.5421251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Alliance59c4,216$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.22,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed 3DMAX55c4,146$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.9321545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked 3DMAX34c3,868$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.0928143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9c…4da5backed 3DMAX24c3,826$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX40c3,773$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.773,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed 3DMAX55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alliance44c3,620$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.135,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked 3DMAX53c3,537$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.616947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Alliance44c3,409$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.0460248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 3DMAX30c3,088$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.754,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed 3DMAX47c3,047$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.6211061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Alliance45c2,900$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.9529449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Alliance65c2,894$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.8975652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed 3DMAX55c2,693$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4812240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX44c2,646$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.394,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Alliance45c2,562$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.8527552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed 3DMAX36c2,427$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.582763%17 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Alliance68c2,224$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.31,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance46c2,173$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.561,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed 3DMAX53c2,117$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12718338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed 3DMAX31c2,096$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed 3DMAX55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.974459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 3DMAX55c1,996$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.9724544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed 3DMAX35c1,966$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68811843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed 3DMAX31c1,923$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.4261034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Alliance47c1,810$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.35459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed 3DMAX54c1,804$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97412552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92c6…4036backed Alliance49c1,791$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x888b…5d1abacked 3DMAX55c1,786$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.072626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed Alliance46c1,708$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.365442.6%23 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed 3DMAX52c1,702$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.3611243.8%49 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Alliance46c1,600$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86426054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Alliance47c1,596$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.7435236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked 3DMAX60c1,588$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.841,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Alliance61c1,567$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.5423861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…3f5fbacked 3DMAX62c1,460$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.423653.4%126 W · 110 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked Alliance45c1,449$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.8912143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9451…c12fbacked 3DMAX38c1,442$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.455952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Alliance78c1,406$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.792,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked 3DMAX54c1,358$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.9766446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Alliance36c1,335$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.5525934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked 3DMAX49c1,334$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.9912950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed 3DMAX55c1,328$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.1450051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed 3DMAX55c1,312$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.618261.5%112 W · 70 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed 3DMAX54c1,294$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70016732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Alliance47c1,280$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.3929839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed 3DMAX34c1,167$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.781936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed 3DMAX54c1,162$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.574440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 3DMAX39c1,096$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.094,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Alliance45c1,086$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.272,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa5…7059backed Alliance46c1,085$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.381861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked 3DMAX55c1,058$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.729044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed 3DMAX11c1,046$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9141716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed 3DMAX54c1,017$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.954325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked 3DMAX2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Alliance45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked 3DMAX52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed 3DMAX35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed 3DMAX54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9918846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked 3DMAX38c999.98$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9943640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Alliance66c999.97$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9916544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x543d…89f8backed 3DMAX54c936.15$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.521643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed 3DMAX55c935.62$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.5920059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Alliance59c909.66$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.432,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed 3DMAX55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Alliance45c893.58$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.6464854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e3…ab59backed 3DMAX49c874.27$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-41.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked 3DMAX53c848.74$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.8320935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b24…ba5cbacked 3DMAX55c828.61$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.743461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Alliance46c815.61$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.4325845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked 3DMAX55c809.09$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44525344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed 3DMAX56c789.11$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed 3DMAX53c750$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.53250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.