TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof 3DMAX, Alliance
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,338 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked 3DMAX62c7,702$4,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.2836453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked 3DMAX71c5,700$4,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.6463157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance44c5,412$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.1466851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Alliance38c3,148$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.179739.2%38 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX57c2,751$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked 3DMAX56c2,737$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.563541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Alliance36c2,276$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.922,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alliance38c1,970$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.425,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed 3DMAX69c1,827$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.9211061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Alliance41c1,774$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.2629839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked Alliance43c1,500$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.4912143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX74c1,163$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.686,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 3DMAX57c1,160$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.231,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance39c1,093$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.644,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Alliance48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48017148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed 3DMAX56c905$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.211243.8%49 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 3DMAX64c903.03$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.954,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX76c856.88$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.964,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 3DMAX75c803.94$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4387047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance43c749.99$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.51,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Alliance38c702.74$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0448240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed 3DMAX60c687.89$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8923861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed 3DMAX58c677$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5245646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Alliance29c598.1$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.634,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed 3DMAX60c540$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21618056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Alliance46c446$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.165,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Alliance33c440.54$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.465,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed Alliance46c430.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Alliance46c382.47$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17553034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Alliance29c374.86$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.123,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Alliance29c364.34$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.043,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Alliance39c346.51$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.851,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX62c338.04$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.91,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 3DMAX66c319.94$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.311,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Alliance20c318.73$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7325934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Alliance25c315.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4441716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed 3DMAX70c306.51$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9927961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Alliance43c282$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2314947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Alliance27c262.09$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.82,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Alliance43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.558343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Alliance20c243.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.972,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Alliance38c243$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3485446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0daa…6be6backed Alliance15c205$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.75195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-73.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed 3DMAX64c204.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.991,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Alliance38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe275…2450backed Alliance15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Alliance39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7815954.1%86 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Alliance16c199.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3218432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Alliance31c198$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3837440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked 3DMAX56c176.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.727947.3%132 W · 147 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Alliance37c175.83$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.643,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Alliance38c171$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9821744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0935…d9efbacked 3DMAX76c169.68$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.727471.6%53 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed 3DMAX60c167.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6723757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbb…357bbacked 3DMAX60c163.45$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Alliance16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2445240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Alliance35c149$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5233949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked 3DMAX65c138.61$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6131451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Alliance38c126.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4854543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed 3DMAX57c117.21$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2491743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Alliance38c116.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4474653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Alliance43c105$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.572,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed 3DMAX58c104.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0533354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Alliance16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167236.1%26 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Alliance17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178322.9%19 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Alliance16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Alliance16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614545.5%66 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Alliance16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1637339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Alliance32c94.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1637149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…f793backed Alliance32c94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.087943%34 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked 3DMAX57c90.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4619851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x493a…0bd2backed 3DMAX56c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.42437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed 3DMAX55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3616741.9%70 W · 97 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alliance40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7580942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alliance33c71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.181,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Alliance23c67.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.461,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Alliance31c61.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.813,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance36c60.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.887,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb30e…5ecebacked Alliance38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe232…6ceabacked Alliance19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46811.8%8 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0544…7924backed Alliance34c44.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Alliance45c43.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f2…61d4backed Alliance38c39.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-61.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa300…24c7backed 3DMAX76c39.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.432070%14 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Alliance38c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6850056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a4…b075backed 3DMAX58c35.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.011330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-48.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Alliance47c34.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed 3DMAX54c33.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.395151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0529…44bbbacked Alliance45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519455.2%107 W · 87 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bc…7e01backed 3DMAX76c31.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.523372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Alliance46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.881246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c7…52a3backed 3DMAX63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed 3DMAX56c29.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.776248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed Alliance40c28.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4923158.4%135 W · 96 L-1.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked 3DMAX57c26.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Alliance41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.251,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed 3DMAX55c23.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6426657.9%154 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a46…fdf3backed Alliance45c23.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.738947.2%42 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed 3DMAX56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.823656.4%133 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2295…8f0fbacked 3DMAX56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.842246.2%195 W · 227 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.