Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64476a295acaa3343f050b41096e621636a19f5a0ff4536037f817b91f73dc60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof VP.Prodigy, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Rune Eaters | 2c | 1,448$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 841.09$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…8bacbacked VP.Prodigy | 67c | 602.61$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Rune Eaters | 75c | 601.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked VP.Prodigy | 48c | 593.48$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.87 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 442.75$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.11 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked VP.Prodigy | 50c | 437.25$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.49 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed VP.Prodigy | 46c | 435.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.82 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 409.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 406.94$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed VP.Prodigy | 79c | 361.05$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 285.19$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Rune Eaters | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 256.74$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked VP.Prodigy | 38c | 232.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VP.Prodigy | 46c | 166.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 155.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 139.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…51c2backed VP.Prodigy | 79c | 137.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed VP.Prodigy | 30c | 115.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 109.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…b7cdbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Rune Eaters | 80c | 100.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 81.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked VP.Prodigy | 27c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 79.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 61.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked VP.Prodigy | 23c | 56.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…29d8backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 53.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…ac1bbacked VP.Prodigy | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c65…6a0cbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed VP.Prodigy | 51c | 34.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…147abacked Rune Eaters | 68c | 29.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…8b26backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 20.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Rune Eaters | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.