CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x942a474acbd633993b10a4417a455a787f8faf0e4d3b0fa6601b0ec3876ef4de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf424…9723backed Atreides | 38c | 9,523$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.06 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…d438backed SPARTA | 63c | 5,342$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.3 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked SPARTA | 64c | 4,000$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.88 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Atreides | 43c | 2,395$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked Atreides | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked SPARTA | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337f…3506backed SPARTA | 50c | 1,154$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.66 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked Atreides | 49c | 623.06$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.45 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 34c | 560.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 31c | 520.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed SPARTA | 62c | 421.1$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Atreides | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…4c73backed Atreides | 54c | 392.97$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atreides | 29c | 390.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked SPARTA | 52c | 387$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Atreides | 36c | 340.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Atreides | 59c | 340.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atreides | 36c | 336.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.71 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Atreides | 33c | 332.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Atreides | 50c | 321.03$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.44 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed SPARTA | 60c | 272.87$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed SPARTA | 40c | 215.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Atreides | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked SPARTA | 45c | 158.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed SPARTA | 73c | 157$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked SPARTA | 51c | 147.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked SPARTA | 45c | 132.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…bcf2backed Atreides | 21c | 130$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atreides | 27c | 121.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Atreides | 46c | 112.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed SPARTA | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed SPARTA | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Atreides | 41c | 97.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Atreides | 19c | 91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Atreides | 19c | 89.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Atreides | 55c | 86.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…fca5backed Atreides | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Atreides | 47c | 84.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed SPARTA | 67c | 81.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…0118backed Atreides | 64c | 79.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 47c | 76.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed SPARTA | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atreides | 35c | 62.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Atreides | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked SPARTA | 68c | 58.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…1501backed Atreides | 49c | 58.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Atreides | 39c | 52.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Atreides | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SPARTA | 62c | 49.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…51c2backed Atreides | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…51d8backed Atreides | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed SPARTA | 55c | 36.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b64…6562backed Atreides | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835a…a5c8backed Atreides | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed SPARTA | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c5…e1afbacked Atreides | 41c | 27.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked SPARTA | 61c | 16.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.